Polling Shows Obama Heading For Huge Victory Over Romney

[Tx4obama]

Polling Shows Obama Heading For Huge Victory Over Romney

It is early, but an analysis of state by state polling data reveals that President Obama may be heading for a huge victory over Mitt Romney.

Although President Obama’s polling numbers have been trending upwards for a few months now, the right wing media is claiming that the president is heading for a huge defeat based on a state by state analysis of an average of his 2011 Gallup approval ratings. The analysis assumed that any state where the president has an under 50% job approval rating would go Republican in fall. There are three obvious problems with this conclusion. First, Obama’s national job approval rating is a tick or two under 50%, so that under the right wing analysis, Obama would lose most of the states in the country. Second, what a year long average can’t reflect is that President Obama’s approval ratings are trending up.

Third, President Obama isn’t running for reelection against his own approval rating. He will be running against Mitt Romney or Newt Gingrich. The more accurate way to measure Obama’s reelection chances is by looking at how he matches up with Mitt Romney in each state. When Obama and Romney are matched up on a state by state basis, guess what? Obama’s huge defeat becomes a huge victory.

For instance the Republican analysis has Obama losing Ohio, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania, but a PPP poll released today found that President Obama is leading Mitt Romney, 49%-42%. Romney’s favorability rating in the state has fallen to 28%. In North Carolina, the latest PPP poll found that Obama leads Romney by 1 point, 46%-45. A December, a Quinnipiac poll of Pennsylvania found Obama leading Romney, 46%-43%. The latest Quinnipiac poll of Florida found Obama and Romney tied in Sunshine State, 45%-45%.

SNIP

http://www.politicususa.com/en/obama-huge-victory-romney

[gopiscrap]

1. Yes

Hope it has coat tails!!!!

[demosincebirth]

2. It will and they will be long ones.

[elleng]

5. Better be. We've got to get the House back AND a larger Senate majority.

[DCBob]

3. GOPers love to play games with numbers and statistics.

Thats how they have won many elections in the past. Hopefully voters are getting more informed and wont fall for this nonsense anymore.

[zbdent]

4. Repugs have nothing to worry about ...

barring any unforseen circumstances ... the (allegedly) "liberally-biased media" will do the Republicans' jobs for them ... and Obama will have a really serious fight on his hands.

[JDPriestly]

8. Obama will win.

The alternative is just too awful for anyone.

I take myself as an example. I am very unhappy with a lot of things that have been said and done by members of the Obama administration in the past few years. But I am not even a tiny fraction as unhappy as I was about the antics of the Bush administration.

The Republican candidates are worse than no choice.

I'm not going to list their faults because their public relations personnel will pounce on what we say here and tailor ads in response, but there is not a one of them who seems sincere, not a one. And the harder they try to seem sincere, the less sincere they seem.

On the other hand, with the Obamas, both of them, what you see is what you get -- or at least you have that feeling. Obama doesn't pretend to be your best friend, but when you see him, you get the feeling that for all his mistakes and faults, he is really trying to do his best for the country. And that is what people will vote for in the end.

[zbdent]

11. Don't you realize? Holding your nose and voting for X is only hypocritical when it's being

done by lefties ...

when it's the RWers doing it, they're "saving the country" ...

Mind you, the "tiny" steps to the "slippery slope" leading to Nazi-esque socialism are nothing compared to the blatant leaps and bounds this country is taking on its headlong rush into a theocracy ...

[fasttense]

6. Seems to me that is very close and in close races the RepubliCONS rig the vote count.

And if rigging the vote count doesn't work the RepubliCONS can always call in the Dancing Supremes to overturn the will of the people.

So, it all comes down to if the American people will allow the RepubliCONS to hijack yet another election.

[tclambert]

7. The election is nine months away. A lot can happen in nine months.

Just ask your mom.

If Romney becomes the obvious Republican choice soon, the whole dynamic of the campaign changes. What I find encouraging is the organization Obama has been building while the Republicans have been wrecking each other. When the Republicans finally settle grudgingly on a choice, I hope they turn around and find Obama has an unbeatable lead in organizing and money.

One thing I will predict, the general election will have an astonishing number of negative ads. We are going to see the dirtiest, trashiest campaign in memory--SuperPACs Gone Wild.

[Iliyah]

9. I hope for a huge win for Pres O

but he will need lots and lots of money and many many foot soldiers b/c the 1% goppers are going to spend tons of money in every state and they can afford to do that.

[mistertrickster]

10. I hope for a huge win for Obama but I don't see it in these numbers.

Florida is up for grabs and so is Penn.

If both go Rmoney, Obama could very well lose in November.

[ellisonz]

12. GOBAMA!

Yeah, it's time to break that one out again.