The eagle, the bear and the dragon by Pepe Escobar
Here's a new Cold War fable for an emerging multipolar world.
Last Modified: 23 Dec 2011 05:59
Let's celebrate the end of an eventful 2011 with a fable.
Once upon a time in the young 21st century, the eagle, the bear and the dragon took their (furry) gloves off and engaged in a New Cold War.
When the original Cold War ended - in theory - in late 1991, in a dacha in Belarus, with the bear almost in coma, the eagle assumed the bear's right to an independent foreign policy which was also cancelled.
That was more than clear between 1999 and 2004 - when NATO, against all promises made to former top bear Gorbachev, expanded all the way to Eastern Europe and the Baltic states.
So the bear started wondering; what if in the end they take away all my security space and I'm geopolitically starved?
In the young 21st century, the key tug of war between the eagle and the bear concerns missile defence. Not even the eagle itself knows whether this immensely expensive gimmick will work. And even if it does, it will probably be financed by a reluctant dragon, which holds over US $1.5tn in eagle debt.
in full: http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/opinion/2011/12/2011121811848534778.html