Ipsos/Reuters Daily Election Tracking: Obama 47% - Romney 44%

[trailmonkee]

Source: Ipsos/Reuters

Wasington, D.C. - Today’s Reuters/Ipsos Daily Tracking poll is unchanged from yesterday, with 47% of likely voters saying they plan to vote for Obama vs. 44% for Romney.

Other findings include updated numbers from our post-debate metrics:

One in ten say that they have already voted (53% voted for Obama vs. 44% for Romney - although we know from the last two elections that Democrats have tended to vote early), and an additional 28% intend to vote in advance of Election Day.

15% of voters who plan to vote for either candidate say that they may change their mind before Election Day.

When it comes to the debate, nearly half of Registered Voters (48%) believe that Obama won, compared to 34% who think Romney did the better.

This is a daily rolling tracker – this means that we conduct 300+ interviews a day, with occasional ‘boosts’, and aggregate data from the previous 4-5 days. The sample overlap that occurs as part of this process means that day-to-day changes will be incremental rather than large.

Read more: http://www.ipsos-na.com/news-polls/pressrelease.aspx?id=5839

[Andy Stanton]

1. All the more reason to doubt Gallup

Though I'm sure the Gallup numbers will move substantially in Obama's direction and we'll probably see it today.

[Andy Stanton]

10. Gallup is now at 6% Romney

Still an outlier but at least it's heading in the right direction.

[Coyotl]

2. One in ten say that they have already voted = 53% voted for Obama vs. 44% for Romney

Do the math, Romney is screwed.

[groundloop]

6. However... "we know from the last two elections that Democrats have tended to vote early"

We can't start our victory dance quite yet.

[Douglas Carpenter]

3. I sure like that better than Gallup

It does seem that this year at this particular time polls are all over the place.

[Andy Stanton]

4. Rasmussen now shows a tie

And Rasmussen leans Republican.

[efhmc]

5. Did they have romney up previously?

[Hyper_Eye]

8. They had Romney at +2.

So they show a 2 point swing which is what many said President Obama would likely get out of the debate. If Rasmussen shows them tied I would expect a number of polls to come along that show President Obama leading. They are almost always favorable to Romney compared to other polls.

[efhmc]

9. Thought they did. Thanks for the info.

[Liberalynn]

7. Good News

[DaveJ]

11. The debate 1 dip just shows how viscous people are.

Geez you have one bad day and there are undecided types who will hang you out to dry.

[Andy Stanton]

12. Obama is now ahead in Realclear

Only by .1 point, but he was behind by over 1 point.
I predict that when Gallup's figures come out on Monday afternoon (1:30pm EST) they will show Romney with a 1 or 2 point lead (down from 6) and Realclear's average will have Obama ahead by 1 point.

[TomCADem]

13. Good to Hear, But Emphasis On Polls Is A Bit Distracting...

...Given Romney's lies or extreme proposals to end Medicare are largely being ignored by the media.