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Fri Sep 7, 2012, 01:06 PM

Obama Bounces Up to 52% Approval, 48% to 45% Over Romney

Source: Gallup.com

President Barack Obama and the Democratic Party look as if they are getting at least a preliminary bounce from their convention. Today's (Friday, Sept. 7) Gallup Daily tracking update puts Obama's job approval rating at 52%, the highest it has been since May 2011, after the killing of Osama bin Laden. Obama has also moved to a 48% to 45% lead over Mitt Romney among registered voters in the election tracking, up from Obama's 47% to 46% margin over the last nine days.

Gallup averages the job approval rating on a three-day rolling average, meaning that today's report encompasses interviewing conducted over the three days of the Democratic Convention in Charlotte -- Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday. Gallup's report of presidential election preferences are, on the other hand, based on a seven-day rolling average stretching from last Friday, the day after the GOP Convention ended, through last night.

This uptick in these two indicators stands in contrast to tracking during the Republican Convention, during which there was no discernible bounce on the ballot tracking. Gallup does not track other measures on Romney that would be comparable to the job approval figure for Obama.

The current data are quite preliminary and for the most part don't reflect the influence of Obama's late Thursday night speech, if any.

Read more: http://pollingmatters.gallup.com/

34 replies, 7842 views

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Arrow 34 replies Author Time Post
Reply Obama Bounces Up to 52% Approval, 48% to 45% Over Romney (Original post)
NMDemDist2 Sep 2012 OP
aaaaaa5a Sep 2012 #1
fugop Sep 2012 #2
skeewee08 Sep 2012 #3
aaaaaa5a Sep 2012 #4
mac56 Sep 2012 #7
gcomeau Sep 2012 #11
savalez Sep 2012 #5
Javaman Sep 2012 #20
goclark Sep 2012 #27
greyl Sep 2012 #32
sa2968 Sep 2012 #6
DonViejo Sep 2012 #8
cilla4progress Sep 2012 #9
demosincebirth Sep 2012 #14
Liberal_Stalwart71 Sep 2012 #10
xxqqqzme Sep 2012 #12
Liberal_Stalwart71 Sep 2012 #19
leftynyc Sep 2012 #15
CountAllVotes Sep 2012 #13
hue Sep 2012 #16
liberal N proud Sep 2012 #17
cosmicone Sep 2012 #18
Incitatus Sep 2012 #21
tabasco Sep 2012 #33
nanabugg Sep 2012 #22
andym Sep 2012 #23
lonestarnot Sep 2012 #26
andym Sep 2012 #31
triplepoint Sep 2012 #24
lonestarnot Sep 2012 #25
budkin Sep 2012 #28
BrainMann1 Sep 2012 #30
BrainMann1 Sep 2012 #29
RonTiger Sep 2012 #34

Response to NMDemDist2 (Original post)

Fri Sep 7, 2012, 01:08 PM

1. Bump! nt

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Response to NMDemDist2 (Original post)

Fri Sep 7, 2012, 01:10 PM

2. I'll take it!

Fired up and ready to go!

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Response to NMDemDist2 (Original post)

Fri Sep 7, 2012, 01:11 PM

3. Woo Hoo

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Response to NMDemDist2 (Original post)

Fri Sep 7, 2012, 01:12 PM

4. That bump is actually HUGE! Think about this.

Gallup does its tracker over a 7 day period.

Yesterday it was Obama 47/Romney 46 or Obama +1. Then the VERY NEXT DAY with only 1 additional day on the 7 day tracker Obama jumps 3 points!

Folks, thats all Clinton from Wednesday night. (Remember Obama's post tracking numbers won't be included until Saturday.)

To move a 7 day tracking number 3 points with just one extra day means that Obama must have been up HUGE NUMBERS in Thursday's tracking poll. Its the only way 1 day could move a 7 day tracking number that much so quickly.


Thanks BIG DAWG!



When Obama's speech is added..... look out!

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Response to aaaaaa5a (Reply #4)

Fri Sep 7, 2012, 01:19 PM

7. yup

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Response to aaaaaa5a (Reply #4)

Fri Sep 7, 2012, 01:40 PM

11. 2 points (+1 to +3)...

...but still a valid, if slightly less high magnitude, observation.

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Response to NMDemDist2 (Original post)

Fri Sep 7, 2012, 01:13 PM

5. Fired up!

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Response to savalez (Reply #5)

Fri Sep 7, 2012, 03:59 PM

20. Ready To Go! nt

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Response to Javaman (Reply #20)

Sat Sep 8, 2012, 02:12 PM

27. Fired Up!

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Response to goclark (Reply #27)

Sun Sep 9, 2012, 02:24 AM

32. Ready to go!

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Response to NMDemDist2 (Original post)

Fri Sep 7, 2012, 01:19 PM

6. This is what happens when you have a convention of hope, diversity, and inclusiveness...

...versus a convention of hate, anger, and bitterness.

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Response to NMDemDist2 (Original post)

Fri Sep 7, 2012, 01:24 PM

8. Obama Boogies Down and Does the Bump!

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Response to NMDemDist2 (Original post)

Fri Sep 7, 2012, 01:27 PM

9. I want this SO bad!

Tearing up!

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Response to cilla4progress (Reply #9)

Fri Sep 7, 2012, 02:19 PM

14. +100

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Response to NMDemDist2 (Original post)

Fri Sep 7, 2012, 01:28 PM

10. This doesn't even reflect his or Biden's speech. However, the jobs numbers may

or may not deflate any bounce.

I'm hoping, however, the the less than desired jobs report won't have too much of a factor here, and people focus on the fact that jobs were created, even if the number is lower than anticipated.

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Response to Liberal_Stalwart71 (Reply #10)

Fri Sep 7, 2012, 02:04 PM

12. But the numbers do reflect

and re-enforce the 'we're getting there' theme of the last 2 nights.

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Response to xxqqqzme (Reply #12)

Fri Sep 7, 2012, 03:26 PM

19. I know that. What I'm saying is that these numbers don't reflect the JOBS REPORT

This polls is coming out BEFORE the jobs report was released.

People may therefore be upset that the numbers are lower than expected and then blame the president for it.

That's all I'm saying.

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Response to Liberal_Stalwart71 (Reply #10)

Fri Sep 7, 2012, 02:32 PM

15. I don't think it really includes Clinton either since

he didn't stop speaking until 11:25ish - do they poll that late?

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Response to NMDemDist2 (Original post)

Fri Sep 7, 2012, 02:10 PM

13. K&R



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Response to NMDemDist2 (Original post)

Fri Sep 7, 2012, 02:47 PM

16. Awesome & let's keep it going!!!

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Response to NMDemDist2 (Original post)

Fri Sep 7, 2012, 02:59 PM

17. Forward and Upward

Not backward and downward.

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Response to NMDemDist2 (Original post)

Fri Sep 7, 2012, 03:03 PM

18. It is going to be a much larger bounce in a few days

when the average is not dragged down by the previous numbers.

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Response to NMDemDist2 (Original post)

Fri Sep 7, 2012, 06:35 PM

21. Romney is

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Response to Incitatus (Reply #21)

Sun Sep 9, 2012, 07:49 AM

33. 45% would vote for Romney.

This country is toast.

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Response to NMDemDist2 (Original post)

Fri Sep 7, 2012, 06:41 PM

22. I think they are lying but I'll take it. I am sure that it O's lead is more than 3 points. nt

 

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Response to NMDemDist2 (Original post)

Sat Sep 8, 2012, 10:54 AM

23. I want to see him break 50% against Romney

that's the key number. 48 to 45 is an improvement, but getting over 50% indicates that he's persuaded the majority he needs to win. If greater than 50% want a candidate within some reasonable proximity of the election, it means there's a good chance to get their vote on election day.

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Response to andym (Reply #23)

Sat Sep 8, 2012, 02:07 PM

26. I wanna see him open up about 25 lengths!

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Response to lonestarnot (Reply #26)

Sun Sep 9, 2012, 01:56 AM

31. That would be great! And carry the rest of the congressional candidates to victory! nt.

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Response to NMDemDist2 (Original post)

Sat Sep 8, 2012, 01:16 PM

24. Does This Mean the rePIGs Will Give Up on Stealing the Election?

 

...or just make us feel like we've got immunity from "being voted off the island?"

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Response to NMDemDist2 (Original post)

Sat Sep 8, 2012, 02:06 PM

25. Wooooooodamnwho!

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Response to NMDemDist2 (Original post)

Sat Sep 8, 2012, 02:15 PM

28. Barring bad debate performances...

He's got this!

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Response to budkin (Reply #28)

Sat Sep 8, 2012, 02:25 PM

30. Debate skills li-get

he has nothing to worry about with Mitt. AlphaCat 99 problems but Mitt ain't one.

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Response to NMDemDist2 (Original post)

Sat Sep 8, 2012, 02:18 PM

29. You did it PREZ

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Response to NMDemDist2 (Original post)

Mon Sep 10, 2012, 01:09 AM

34. 1 million voters

 

Usually polls on big medias are samples of 1000 or 10,000 voters only. We need atleast opinions from 1 million voters to get the true picture.

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