Benchmark Politics Calls Oregon for Sanders (+1) In Tight Race Based on Computer Model Prediction
Source: Benchmark Politics
Onto Oregon now, everyone. We have Sanders +1. We think he'll win. we were close in KY, and by all means, its within the margin for error. Polls close at 8:00 PDT, 10:00 Central. Our call for Oregon probably wont be til 11:00 PM central. Everyone take 5 and we'll return for OR! Even though we have Sanders in OR at +1 I really feel like Clinton has a 40% shot at winning
Read more: https://twitter.com/benchmarkpol/status/732742364423315456
RandySF
(59,809 posts)Obama won big in 2008.
Kingofalldems
(38,514 posts)Repubs are sad.
beachbumbob
(9,263 posts)big_dog
(4,144 posts)pretty darn close
Kingofalldems
(38,514 posts)big_dog
(4,144 posts)Even though Sanders in OR at +1 I really feel like Clinton has a 40% shot at winning
CrowCityDem
(2,348 posts)brooklynite
(95,006 posts)I was told this would be a blowout.
big_dog
(4,144 posts)and often are in the early afternoons
brooklynite
(95,006 posts)Bechmark is an analytical model.
vdogg
(1,384 posts)They only call once they have official results. This is their projection, they'll call once they see if the vote matches their projection.
Retrograde
(10,184 posts)I don't think any results will be released until then.
Some people seem so excited about being the first to "call it" that they go off before voters are done, as if it's the West Coast's fault they're in a different time zone.
Pastiche423
(15,406 posts)Although mailed in my ballot last week.
book_worm
(15,951 posts)it would be a big set back for him.
Bluenorthwest
(45,319 posts)of error based on any sort of data. Voting is still in progress. No exit polling. Very little and really inferior polling. What sort of computer model they could be using is very difficult to imagine. They seem confused and frustrated by our process.