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pepperbear

(5,648 posts) Mon Nov 7, 2016, 01:39 PM Nov 2016

For those who have been worried because 538 showed trump's chances up post-Comey...

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo

Don't look now, but he is again tanking, Madame Secretary's chances are going up, and NC, NV, and FL went from trending opaque pink to trending blue again.

68.5 vs 31.5 AND RISING.

6 replies

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For those who have been worried because 538 showed trump's chances up post-Comey... (Original Post) pepperbear Nov 2016 OP

He's got a really weird algorithim sharp_stick Nov 2016 #1

He's saying we are going to lose the Senate in all three models... hlthe2b Nov 2016 #2

I guess he took his thumb off the scale... orwell Nov 2016 #4

Dec 1969 #

sharp_stick

(14,400 posts)

1. He's got a really weird algorithim

Reply to pepperbear (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 01:44 PM

Nov 2016

going this year. I'd love to see what a couple of independent statisticians would make of it.

To me, who has a barely workable knowledge of statistics, it just doesn't make sense.

hlthe2b

(102,236 posts)

2. He's saying we are going to lose the Senate in all three models...

Reply to pepperbear (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 01:51 PM

Nov 2016

I sure as hell hope he's equally wrong there as he's likely been on the Presidential.

orwell

(7,771 posts)

4. I guess he took his thumb off the scale...

Reply to pepperbear (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 02:56 PM

Nov 2016

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