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applegrove

(118,640 posts)
Tue May 24, 2016, 03:42 PM May 2016

Pay Attention To Libertarian Gary Johnson; He’s Pulling 10 Percent vs. Trump And Clinton

Pay Attention To Libertarian Gary Johnson; He’s Pulling 10 Percent vs. Trump And Clinton

by Clare Malone at fivethirtyeight

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/pay-attention-to-libertarian-gary-johnson-hes-pulling-10-vs-trump-and-clinton/

"SNIP...............



Gary Johnson might be on the verge of becoming a household name.

At the moment, he’s probably most often confused with that plumber who fixed your running toilet last month or your spouse’s weird friend from work who keeps calling the landline, but he’s neither — he’s the former governor of New Mexico, likely Libertarian candidate for president, and he’s polling at 10 percent in two recently released national polls against Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump.

A Morning Consult survey published Tuesday and found Clinton getting 38 percent of the vote, Trump 35 and Johnson 10, with 17 percent undecided. A Fox News poll conducted from May 14-17 showed Trump leading over Clinton, 42 percent to 39 percent, but Johnson at 10 percent as well. Lest you think this is some fluky May development, a Monmouth University survey conducted in mid-March — while the political universe was still busy wringing its hands over the Republican nomination — found that in a three-way race, Clinton would get 42 percent, Trump 34 percent and Johnson 11 percent.

Given that Trump and Clinton are sporting historically high negative ratings, Johnson’s polling makes a fair bit of sense; Gary Johnson is neither Donald Trump nor Hillary Clinton. He might not win a state, but he could make some noise.



................SNIP"
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Pay Attention To Libertarian Gary Johnson; He’s Pulling 10 Percent vs. Trump And Clinton (Original Post) applegrove May 2016 OP
No. No. No. No. No. No. No. Initech May 2016 #1
I think he will take more votes from Trump. applegrove May 2016 #2
Quite the opposite Kelvin Mace May 2016 #4
So this is a good thing then? OK. Initech May 2016 #6
If you want Trump to lose, yes. Kelvin Mace May 2016 #12
Yes I do want Trump to lose. Initech May 2016 #13
Wrong wrong wrong Initech K and RRR Jeffersons Ghost May 2016 #11
He will damage Trump more so DVRacer May 2016 #3
Johnson takes more from Trump for sure. forjusticethunders May 2016 #5
Keep an eye on Zoltan Istvan. n/t meaculpa2011 May 2016 #7
Looneytarians are, of course, Republicans who like to smoke pot. OilemFirchen May 2016 #8
"IT'S RISING!! THE JOHNSON IS RISING!!" Shandris May 2016 #9
It would be too hard for me to vote for him DVRacer May 2016 #10
Thread over! Initech May 2016 #14
Libertarians always do well in the early polling. former9thward May 2016 #15
 

Kelvin Mace

(17,469 posts)
4. Quite the opposite
Tue May 24, 2016, 03:48 PM
May 2016

Libertarian candidates pull GOP votes more than Dem votes. Johnson will be a protest vote for the "principled" GOP voters (there have to be a few still breathing).

 

forjusticethunders

(1,151 posts)
5. Johnson takes more from Trump for sure.
Tue May 24, 2016, 03:49 PM
May 2016

In fact, I could see #NeverTrump quietly rally around him as the real "conservative" in the race. And Hillary could pull any Dem leakers simply by pledging to deschedule weed.

OilemFirchen

(7,143 posts)
8. Looneytarians are, of course, Republicans who like to smoke pot.
Tue May 24, 2016, 03:51 PM
May 2016

No actual sentient liberal or progressive will vote for Johnson.

former9thward

(31,997 posts)
15. Libertarians always do well in the early polling.
Tue May 24, 2016, 06:05 PM
May 2016

Then their support fades away as the actual election comes around.

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