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book_worm

(15,951 posts)
Wed Feb 3, 2016, 03:31 PM Feb 2016

New NH GOP Poll shows Trump leading with Jeb! actually in second place

Donald Trump maintains a strong lead in New Hampshire, earning 31% of the vote on the Presidential Republican Primary ballot test. Jeb Bush (14%) leads the field in the race for second place, followed by John Kasich (12%) and more distantly by Marco Rubio (10%), Ted Cruz (9%) and Chris Christie (6%). Note: The results from night two of our survey were largely unchanged from pre-Iowa Caucus results on Monday night.

Trump’s advantage increases among likely voters who self-affiliate with the Republican Party (34%, Bush 16%). He leads John Kasich among likely independent primary voters (23%, Kasich 16%, Rubio 12%, Bush 11%) while Trump (20%) and Fiorina (20%) tie among Democrats who say they are likely to vote in the Republican primary.

Although Trump leads in every region of the state, Jeb Bush increases his proportion of the vote substantially in the Boston (18%) and Portland-Auburn (21%) media markets. Jeb Bush (15%) and Marco Rubio (15%) tie for second in the Burlington- Plattsburgh market and Kasich pulls into second in Hillsborough County (18%) and Rockingham County (11%). Trump has comparable leads among both women (28%, Bush 18%) and men (32%, Kasich 14%).

While Trump leads among the three older age brackets (40-54: 39%, 55-65: 31%, 66+: 26%), Jeb Bush shows strength among younger voters (18-39: 25%-26% Trump). Among self-identified Very Conservative voters, Trump leads (32%) followed by Ted Cruz (18%) and Jeb Bush (16%). He also leads among Somewhat Conservatives (35%) followed by Jeb Bush (14%, Rubio 13%). John Kasich leads Trump among Moderates (25-24%, Bush 14%).

http://harperpolling.com/polls/new-hampshire-republican-presidential-primary-poll#ballot

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