McConnell campaign releases internal polling memo showing him ahead by 8 points...

[kentuck]

http://www.kentucky.com/2014/10/22/3495548/mcconnell-releases-poll-showing.html?sp=/99/322/&ihp=1

<snip>
After the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee announced Wednesday that it will return to Kentucky's airwaves on behalf of Alison Lundergan Grimes, Mitch McConnell's campaign released an internal polling memo showing the Republican leading by eight points.

According to Jan van Lohuizen, McConnell's longtime pollster, the Senate minority leader has a 49 percent to 41 percent lead on Grimes, Kentucky's secretary of state. Libertarian candidate David Patterson got 3 percent.

McConnell's campaign staff released the internal numbers not long after Politico reported that the DSCC, which said last week that it had not plans to spend more money on TV advertising in Kentucky, is reserving $650,000 of air time in the state to bolster Grimes.

.....more

[belzabubba333]

1. excellent you just keep relying on those internal polls there mitchy

[kentuck]

2. This is the same internal pollster that had Trey Greyson tied with Rand Paul....

Rand Paul won by 23 points!

[Iggo]

3. Maybe it's the same guys who had Rmoney ahead of Obama.

They were wrong...lol.

[belzabubba333]

4. i just keep thinking of mittens and rove and their internal polling and just how well that worked

for them

[mfcorey1]

9. And how the thought of it for 2014 smells.

[madville]

5. I think he's likely to win by 4-5 points

Probably something like 48-44 for McConnell seems realistic.

I'm more interested in Georgia, it's pretty much a tie in every poll, turnout will decide that one for sure which may be bad news for Nunn since Democrats' enthusiasm is polling much lower than Republicans.

[kentuck]

6. I don't think so.

I think ALG is going to win this one.

[madville]

8. I hope she does

That's just my prediction for that race though, here are some of my others:

Hagan wins NC +1
Landrieu loses LA -3 in the runoff
Nunn and Perdue GA - too close to call
Roberts wins KS +4
Wendy Davis loses in TX -10
Scott/Crist in FL - too close to call
Udall loses CO -2
Beigech loses AK -4
Pryor loses AR -5

I also NH Senate Seat is a toss up, latest polls have it all tied up.

[Proud Liberal Dem]

10. That's pretty pessimistic

[madville]

12. We will know in two weeks

I'm not seeing very many Democrats touting internal polling though, not a good sign. Many have made hard right turns policy wise as well which isn't going to help Democratic voter enthusiasm in regards to turnout.

But what do I know, just speculation I think my predictions are realistic and likely but it could turn out worse or better at this point.

[Robbins]

16. If that turns out

It's going to be disaster for contury.

With republican senate get ready for cuts to social safety net to pay for endless war,and Obama's Impeachment.

Tea party will shut down government or go over dedt ceiling to get more cuts and obama will have no support unlike 2011 and 2013.

[madville]

17. No way impeachment would actually happen

Would be impossible unless half the Democratic Party in the Senate was voting for it as well.

[Robbins]

19. Yes it can

House on partyline vote can impeach and republicans now in majority In Senate can assure there Is trial In Senate.He won't be
removed since Dems won't vote to remove but they can impeach and try him Ins enate as tea party wants.

[Puzzledtraveller]

14. Easy

Lived in Louisville since 1976, in the metro area, which is now Louisville Metro Jefferson County, Grimes will do well. She may do well in Fayette(Lexington), possibly up north which would be Boone county but only in Florence metro area which is close to Cincinnati demo wise. Just opinions of course but it goes with living here and also being a social service caseworker and getting a feel from my clients.

[Botany]

7. not buying it

[FSogol]

11. Hey Yertle, Ask Eric Cantor about the accuracy of internal polling.

[Historic NY]

13. My turd just pulled ahead of him on the way to the sewer..

thses polls are meant to discourage.

[Jackpine Radical]

15. Absolutely.

I don't know anything about your turd, but I bet the "internal poll" is plain old disinformation aimed at getting the national party to renege again at the last minute on funding her.

[Blue Owl]

18. McConnell's internal cesspoll