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Running Out of TimeBy THE EDITORIAL BOARD - NYT
APRIL 20, 2014
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Next year, in December, delegates from more than 190 nations will gather in Paris to take another shot at completing a new global treaty on climate change. This will be the 21st Conference of the Parties under United Nations auspices since the first summit meeting in Rio de Janeiro in 1992.
For the most part, these meetings have been exercises in futility, producing just one treaty in Kyoto in 1997 that asked little of the big developing countries and was never ratified by the United States Senate. But if the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Changes most recent report is to be taken seriously, as it should be, the Paris meeting may well be the worlds last, best chance to get a grip on a problem that, absent urgent action over the next decade, could spin out of control.
The I.P.C.C., composed of thousands of the worlds leading climate scientists, has issued three reports in the last seven months, each the product of up to six years of research. The first simply confirmed what has been known since Rio: global warming is caused largely by the burning of fossil fuels by humans and, to a lesser extent, by deforestation. The second, released in Japan three weeks ago, said that profound effects were already being felt around the world, including mounting damage to coral reefs, shrinking glaciers and more persistent droughts, and warned of worse to come rising seas, species loss and dwindling agricultural yields.
The third report, released last week, may be the most ominous of the three. Despite investments in energy efficiency and cleaner energy sources in the United States, in Europe and in developing countries like China, annual emissions of greenhouse gases have risen almost twice as fast in the first decade of this century as they did in the last decades of the 20th century. This places in serious jeopardy the emissions target agreed upon in Rio to limit warming to no more than 2 degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) above the preindustrial level. Beyond that increase, the world could face truly alarming consequences.
Avoiding that fate will require a reduction of between 40 percent and 70 percent in greenhouse gases by midcentury, which means embarking on a revolution in the way we produce and consume energy.
Thats daunting enough, but heres the key finding: The world has only about 15 years left in which to begin to bend the emissions curve downward. Otherwise, the costs of last-minute fixes will be overwhelming. We cannot afford to lose another decade, says Ottmar Edenhofer, a German economist and co-chairman of the committee that wrote the report. If we lose another decade, it becomes extremely costly to achieve climate stabilization.
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More: http://www.nytimes.com/2014/04/21/opinion/running-out-of-time.html?hp&rref=opinion&_r=0
MisterP
(23,730 posts)because looking more than 3 years ahead is COMMIE
bvar22
(39,909 posts).....we wouldn't be facing our own extinction today,
nor would we be involved in the Wars for Oil in the Middle East.
We would be Leading the World.
One of the things for which I have never forgiven Bill Clinton
was that he did NOT replace Carter's Solar Panels (actually Solar Hot water) on the White House roof on Day ONE of his administration.
This would have been a significant symbolic rebuff of the misguided Reagan Administration.
MisterP
(23,730 posts)just NICER and more ACCOMPLISHED overall, let's say) and they got solar water panels
we can't just do ideological fights ("what you said about Agenda 21 is barmy" but also emphasize practical affairs (we can call it "pragmatic," but that word now just means "Dems, go along with Dick Cheney's worldview and plans--or you'll get President Cruz and it'll be all your fault!" : "what you said about Agenda 21 is barmy--but you want less dependence on the Middle East, cleaner air, self-sufficient homes and apts passively using what free energy they can, a more robust transportation infrastructure not cripplingly dependent on one mode, etc.); it might not bring about much conscientization or awareness of these issues (what, 40% of people getting Washington's money don't know it's government money? what do they think "U.S. Treasury" is? some sorta sweepstakes?), but it's definitely a way for that dialogue and common ground people like
heck, Teabaggers loved the DC Metro and some of them go to the National Parks all the time, though they're mostly the stay-at-home-and-rot types