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Amerigo Vespucci

(30,885 posts)
Thu Dec 15, 2011, 09:20 PM Dec 2011

Rasmussen Reports poll: Bloated, arrogant, smirking adulterer's lead drops from 32 to 20%



WASHINGTON -- Two new automated polls show sharp declines in support for Newt Gingrich in Iowa, and the national Gallup Daily tracking poll shows a more subtle decline nationwide. The consistency in the trends suggests that the changes are real, and a heavy and mostly unanswered barrage of attack ads in Iowa explains why Gingrich's support there may be falling more rapidly.

The two new automated polls have captured the attention of the news media and helped spur a big move toward Romney on the Intrade prediction market. Specifically,

A new Rasmussen Reports poll shows Gingrich falling 12 points from a high of 32 percent in mid-November to 20 percent now.

A survey released earlier this week by the Democratic-aligned firm Public Policy Polling (PPP) shows a smaller Gingrich decline (from 27 to 22 percent) over the past week.



http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/12/15/newt-gingrich-lead-fades-_n_1152101.html
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Rasmussen Reports poll: Bloated, arrogant, smirking adulterer's lead drops from 32 to 20% (Original Post) Amerigo Vespucci Dec 2011 OP
What's suspicious about this poll customerserviceguy Dec 2011 #1
They ate Herm's part of the pizza. Old and In the Way Dec 2011 #2
Well put! GaltFreeDiet Dec 2011 #3
Are you sure they're not waiting for superman? LiberalAndProud Dec 2011 #4
Ok, I can possibly see customerserviceguy Dec 2011 #5
I see 25 points got reallocated between the 2 polling dates. Old and In the Way Dec 2011 #6
It will likely come down to who has the best organization in the state (Romney?) yellowcanine Dec 2011 #8
No Newts is good Newts! (I don't know what that means, I just liked the sound of it) yellowcanine Dec 2011 #7

customerserviceguy

(25,183 posts)
1. What's suspicious about this poll
Thu Dec 15, 2011, 10:50 PM
Dec 2011

is that it shows Bachmann, Perry, Santorum, and Huntsman going up. I can believe Paul's rise, but not the other four.

Old and In the Way

(37,540 posts)
2. They ate Herm's part of the pizza.
Fri Dec 16, 2011, 12:38 AM
Dec 2011

What is also interesting is that the undecideds are increasing, too. You'd think that # would be dropping to reflect more solidification of the voters choosing their favorite.

LiberalAndProud

(12,799 posts)
4. Are you sure they're not waiting for superman?
Fri Dec 16, 2011, 02:39 AM
Dec 2011

I would be tearing my hair out if this represented the best my party had to offer. They must be thinking, "Is this all there is?"

customerserviceguy

(25,183 posts)
5. Ok, I can possibly see
Fri Dec 16, 2011, 08:20 AM
Dec 2011

those who left Bachmann or Perry for Cain coming back to them after he's gone. I don't think Santorum is a likely place for them, and I sure don't think anyone who liked Cain would like Huntsman.

Old and In the Way

(37,540 posts)
6. I see 25 points got reallocated between the 2 polling dates.
Fri Dec 16, 2011, 02:11 PM
Dec 2011

Herm, for obvious reasons, and Gingrich took hits. So it's hard to figure exactly how they got redistributed except everyone else got a little bit bigger slice, Romney got a big slice, Newt had a slice stolen, and there's a slightly bigger slice no one's claimed.

yellowcanine

(35,699 posts)
8. It will likely come down to who has the best organization in the state (Romney?)
Fri Dec 16, 2011, 02:28 PM
Dec 2011

The Iowa Caucus process driven by organization.

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