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highplainsdem

(48,978 posts)
Mon Jan 30, 2012, 11:26 AM Jan 2012

Rasmussen, 1/30, showing President Obama's biggest leads over Mitt and Newt since last fall

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

In potential Election 2012 matchups, it’s President Obama 47% and Romney 41%. However, if Gingrich is his Republican opponent, the president holds a double-digit lead, 52% to 35%. That’s the president’s biggest lead over Romney since November and his largest advantage over Gingrich since October. (see tracking history). That’s consistent with the uptick in the president’s approval rating over recent months and an increase in consumer confidence Over the past week, the president has earned between 44% and 47% of the vote every day when matched against Romney. Against Gingrich, the president has earned from 47% to 52%.



The GOP primary is really helping us. So despite many polls predicting a double-digit win for Romney in Florida, I'm hoping it will be close enough that Gingrich will not only stay in the race but find enough financial backing to keep this from being wrapped up for a few more months.
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Rasmussen, 1/30, showing President Obama's biggest leads over Mitt and Newt since last fall (Original Post) highplainsdem Jan 2012 OP
Holy cow!! Do you see what this means???For those poll watchers... Loudmxr Jan 2012 #1
Do these polls take into consideration electoral college votes or is it just the popular vote still_one Jan 2012 #2
K & R Tarheel_Dem Jan 2012 #3
Rassys usual MO closer to electoin time. Sheepshank Jan 2012 #4
It ain't over 'til the fat lady sings. Angleae Jan 2012 #5

Loudmxr

(1,405 posts)
1. Holy cow!! Do you see what this means???For those poll watchers...
Mon Jan 30, 2012, 11:36 AM
Jan 2012

You know that a Rasmussen poll to be taken seriously needs to be moved 5 points to the left to be remotely accurate.

So our President is, in fact, at 52%.

 

Sheepshank

(12,504 posts)
4. Rassys usual MO closer to electoin time.
Mon Jan 30, 2012, 12:47 PM
Jan 2012

Rasmussen, does this every election period. Play will polls and push polling questions trying to tilt and herd the public in what they decide is the appropriate direction. Very many people love to back winners and Rasmussen uses that psych to the manipulative advantage of their chosen party.

BUT they are torn with the idea of needing to seem credible and accurate vs. trying to manipulate the information. For a pollster, predictions and results have to match as closely as possible to build credibility and viability in the political polling arena. So they find a balance. Try and manipulate the population with the hopeful prodding of a population in a specific direction during interim periods, but when it gets closer to elections, print the information that will provide them with on-going kudos for correct and accurate presidential polls.

Angleae

(4,482 posts)
5. It ain't over 'til the fat lady sings.
Tue Jan 31, 2012, 03:29 AM
Jan 2012

And I ain't heard no fat lady (proverbally speaking).

A lot can happen between now and November. Polls this early are meaningless.

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