My prediction on where the polls are headed.

[Funtatlaguy]

I just have the good feeling that in national polling that Biden will slowly increase his numbers while Trump, 3rd party, and Undecideds will slowly decrease.
Here is my national percentage prediction and I think the 6 primary swing states will follow pretty much the same trend.

May. Trump 43 Biden 42 Others 10 Undec 5
June Biden 44 Trump 42 Others 9 Undec 5
July Biden 45 Trump 42 Others 8 Undec 5
July Biden 46 Trump 42 Others 8 Undec 4
Aug Biden 47 Trump 42 Others 7 Undec 4
Sept Biden 48 Trump 41 Others 7 Undec 4
Oct Biden 49 Trump 41 Others 6 Undec 4
Nov Biden 50 Trump 41 Others 6 Undec 3

Actual Election night results:
Biden 53 Trump 43 Others 4

[GreenWave]

1. And those crybabies gonna crybaby.

4 more years of their intolerable whining.

[Stuart G]

2. Trump will get no more than 30 percent of the vote.. Trump is a liar and a crook. ENOUGH!

[ITAL]

5. He's gonna get way more than that

I believe the last time a major party candidate got under 30% was 1912, and that was mostly because there were strong 3rd party challenges.

[lees1975]

12. If you take the exit polling that has been done among Republican primary voters

where a consistent 20-25% of Republicans have said they won't vote for Trump if he's convicted, and a solid 15-20% who say they won't vote for Trump at all, and subtract that from the potential GOP vote, he probably won't get more than 35% of the total vote. Hard to tell from polling data at all these days, since it is all over the place. But I think Biden will get about 10% more of the vote than Trump. And I think he'll carry all the states he did in 2020, plus add at least two or three more.

[Celerity]

15. maybe if he dies before the election, otherwise, no, he will get far more than 30 per cent, unfortunately

[ForgedCrank]

3. I wish

I could share in your optimism. With the inflation and GDP numbers we are seeing, I'm not so sure about that trend.
We really need a turnaround in a bad way.

[Stuart G]

6. A turnaround will happen..I don't know when.

[WarGamer]

4. I would have settled for the MegaMillions numbers for tonight

[patphil]

7. Yeah, but I'm thinking 54 Biden, 42 Trump, other 4 on election night.

160 million votes, and Biden wins by over 19 million votes.
Trump still whines that the election was stolen, but no one cares.

[Funtatlaguy]

18. Yep. Trump will be a convicted felon. Many Haley voters

Will then flip to Biden or stay home.

[TexasDem69]

8. Trump got more than 46% of the vote

In both 2016 and 2020. He’ll get roughly that amount this time. There’s zero evidence suggesting his voters have abandoned him.

[lees1975]

13. That's just not accurate.

Every primary election has shown that a significant number of Republicans are voting for other candidates, even though everyone else has dropped out. And the exit polling is showing that a lot of his former supporters aren't his supporters now.

[TexasDem69]

17. Primaries aren't general elections

Do you think that all the Democrats who cast protest votes against Biden are going to abandon him in the general? Cause we’re fucked if they do.

[Bucky]

9. This is an absurd thread. If you want to concentrate on numbers...

concentrate on phone numbers and volunteer for a GOTV phone bank.

[Funtatlaguy]

11. Just taking a little break from 10 hours of door knocking and

Phone banking.
Hope that’s ok, Chief.

[returnee]

10. Polls of what?

I’m sure you are aware that the president is elected on a state-by-state basis. The only polls that matter, in my opinion, are very well-conducted state-by-state polls. I have little doubt that Biden will win the popular vote. It’s the individual states I’m worried about. My (completely unscientific) prediction is that we will see levels of state legislatures, governors, and other corrupt organization carrying out subversive warfare on free and fair elections we have never seen before.

[Funtatlaguy]

14. As I stated in the OP, I think the swing states in the

Electoral College will follow this slow trend away from Trump and others and toward Biden.

On Election Night I predict,
Biden wins PA by 6, Mich and Wisc by 4, Nev by 3, Ariz by1and Trump wins GA by 2% points.

[returnee]

16. Fair enough.

I should read more carefully. Note that we generally agree overall regarding votes fairly cast, fairly counted, and fairly processed. I still maintain our biggest concern will have to do with political shenanigans by the far right.

[BannonsLiver]

19. You'll probably be attacked for daring to show even a scintilla of optimism

But while I don’t share your final margin I think the clarity voters are starting to consolidate. These are people who generally complain about Biden’s age and Trump’s insanity but in the end, can’t vote for Trump or throw their vote away on some goober like RFK Jr. Or the other scumbag grifter, Cornel West.

[pwb]

20. We beat all the polls lately so

looks like a landslide eh? If rump makes it he will be in the low 30s IMO. Texas, Florida, and Wisconsin with other plains states and the Northwest are all in play. I agree, and it will be good for America.

[Wounded Bear]

21. I could live with that...