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reformist2

(9,841 posts) Sun Oct 28, 2012, 01:23 PM Oct 2012

Rand/American Life Panel Daily Tracking Poll: Obama 51%, Romney 44% (!)

This poll is different - they have been monitoring the same 5,000 people for six months, and Obama's 7-point lead now is as big as it ever has been.

https://mmicdata.rand.org/alp/?page=election

3 replies

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Rand/American Life Panel Daily Tracking Poll: Obama 51%, Romney 44% (!) (Original Post) reformist2 Oct 2012 OP

Take that gallup! SCliberal091294 Oct 2012 #1

You're probably right to take it with a grain of salt, but I can't help loving this graph! reformist2 Oct 2012 #2

Every poll angrychair Oct 2012 #3

SCliberal091294

(213 posts)

1. Take that gallup!

Reply to reformist2 (Original post)

Sun Oct 28, 2012, 01:32 PM

Oct 2012

I'm not a big fan of national polls so I will take it with a grain of salt. The Rand poll leans left and The Rasmussen poll leans right. I like to combine them and give O +1 or 2 nationally

reformist2

(9,841 posts)

2. You're probably right to take it with a grain of salt, but I can't help loving this graph!

Reply to SCliberal091294 (Reply #1)

Sun Oct 28, 2012, 02:16 PM

Oct 2012

angrychair

(8,698 posts)

3. Every poll

Reply to reformist2 (Original post)

Sun Oct 28, 2012, 02:30 PM

Oct 2012

Should be taken "with a grain of salt". I'm really starting to think that most polls have a lot more to do shaping outcomes than predicting them. That being said i thought I read that Nate Silver and RAND had the clearest methodology and were closest to the mark out of the last couple of elections?

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