General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsAnd so here we are - 2 weeks to go and this is the picture.
538 aggregate polls posted after the debate.
Obama's climb started September 18, at 72.9%. Four debates later, we are at Oct 23 and he is at 70.3% and climbing. No more debates - two weeks of ads, big swing state rallies (some including Bill Clinton). Though 290 electoral votes isn't as nice as 310 or 320, it is more than 270. Seems to me that aside from endless MSM schilling and spinning (and of course the "October surprise"...hmmm) - this is when the superior Dem ground game can take those few registered voters that aren't showing up in the polls as likely converted to votes.
Think about all that Obama has working against him - 4 years of relentless attacks and obstruction, a media that is in the bag for their corporate masters, and the deep pockets of the Rovian groups thanks to Citizens United. And he is positioned for a second term...
Take heart - go be a poll volunteer, make phone calls, drive people to the polls, register voters. We have a part that we can play to ensure we don't have one of the most unfit candidates in history to take the wheel of the country and drive it back into the Bush-lined ditch.
kansasobama
(609 posts)Well said. We really have to do our part now. Get those Dems on fence to vote. I cannot believe there are so many Dems who would be hurt by Romney just doing other things. Let us move those people.
DarthDem
(5,255 posts)Love the summary. I know North Raleigh well, too.
wishlist
(2,795 posts)We are fired up and ready to go vote for Obama. The level of intensity of the importance of voting this year is higher than I have ever seen. One person I am taking to the polls is a close friend who voted Repub before Clinton, despises Repubs now and loves the Obamas. She is still registered R, and appalled at the extreme hatefulness and dishonesty of the Repub mailings she gets.
X_Digger
(18,585 posts)marions ghost
(19,841 posts)Am trying to understand the graphs. One on the left is Now, one on the right is Forecast for Nov 6.
OK, if the numbers are roughly the same, why do the line graphs look so different?
Anyway --the blue line is slightly up, red line slightly down on all graphs--and so I interpret that as meaning that the predictable pattern we see now will likely hold through election day. So I get the trend but just find the graphs a little visually confusing... basically it's close but doable for Blue. I do get the point of it being an aggregate.
Encouraging. Thanks for posting.
NRaleighLiberal
(60,014 posts)for the Nov 6 forecast, he always built in the various historical impacts of events along the way - release of job reports, debates, etc. For the Now Cast, it was more tied to the news of the moment.
but yes, the trend is now going in the right direction!
marions ghost
(19,841 posts)that explains it.
Liberalynn
(7,549 posts)on November 5, but hoping in a small way it will help President Obama add to the popular vote count too. I know electoral is all that literally counts in the end, but its always better to have both in our column. Better for me to be about among fellow democrats doing what I can, than sitting home having an anxiety attack at any rate
keeganspaa
(8 posts)The first debate was a bad hit, but after tonight's performance there's nothing left that could turn around the President's momentum, and there's nothing that could change his great record.
Keegan Fife VerBurg
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beac
(9,992 posts)So uplifting and just the thing I needed this morning... not to mention it's full of great facts.
Hope you wil post this in the Video & Multimedia Forum as soon as you have the proper post count (I think it' still ten to post an OP.)
WELCOME to DU!
Surya Gayatri
(15,445 posts)Make sure you disseminate it through facebook and twitter!
And by the by, welcome to DU!
BlueMan Votes
(903 posts)I wouldn't mind looking at the senate section
NRaleighLiberal
(60,014 posts)sadbear
(4,340 posts)porphyrian
(18,530 posts)malaise
(268,981 posts)Rec
BumRushDaShow
(128,939 posts)Surya Gayatri
(15,445 posts)Can you give it wider exposure via facebook and twitter?