Obama is winning Ohioans who have already cast their ballot by a 63-37 margin

[bigtree]

from TPM2012: http://2012.talkingpointsmemo.com/2012/10/new-polls-suggest-democratic-freakout-may-be-premature.php


New Polls Suggest Democratic Freakout May Be Premature

While there’s been an array of state and national numbers over the last few days, two sets of polls from NBC/WSJ/Marist and CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac represent some of the first results from top outlets that polling analysts tend to lend the most credibility. And the numbers, while improved for Romney, still show Obama with an advantage in key states.

Most important: Ohio, a likely must-win for Romney where Obama has held a solid lead in recent weeks. NBC/WSJ pegs the race at 51-45 for Obama, a 2-point bounce for Romney since their last poll with the president’s own support remaining steady. It’s the second post-debate poll of Ohio from a major news organization to show Obama breaking the 50 percent barrier — CNN put him up 51-47.

“The reality is that if there’s a preponderance of solid polling showing Ohio squarely in Obama’s corner, Romney remains in trouble,” Blake Zeff, a Democratic strategist, told TPM. “I’d like to see more polls there before reaching any conclusions, but today’s is a start.”

In another encouraging takeaway for Democrats, NBC/WSJ found that Democrats’ ground game may be paying dividends in early voting. Obama is winning Ohioans who have already cast their ballot by a 63-37 margin, and they make up 1 in 5 of the poll’s respondents. Early voting began the day before the first debate, giving Romney an opportunity to potentially bank some ballots ahead of Election Day with his strong performance, but it seems from NBC’s results that Obama still has the edge there . . .


read more: http://2012.talkingpointsmemo.com/2012/10/new-polls-suggest-democratic-freakout-may-be-premature.php

[BumRushDaShow]

1. K&R

Go Ohio!!

[Ikonoklast]

2. Mr. Obama already has my vote, my three kids, and their three SO's.

In the mail on Tuesday.

[Wednesdays]

6. You mailed your kids and SO's to Obama?

[Ikonoklast]

9. We come from very small people.

I went around the world a few years back by UPS.

Beats the hell out of air fare.

[bigtree]

3. kick

[lunatica]

4. May all the voting be the same

[OldDem2012]

5. Just curious, but are the pollsters counting the early voting support for Obama as "Likely Voters"?

And are they discounting those votes in their polls by claiming they're not as enthusiastic as Republican voters?

[mzmolly]

7. Serious question. Are these people added to likely voter numbers

when polls are conducted, or are they tossed out?

[flamingdem]

8. The puke justification is that oldsters vote in mass on election day

must be true since Chuck Toady and Andrea GOP Mitchell were pushing that meme today... only way left to justify a theft of the numero uno state that Romney needs.