If anyone wants some good news on the heels of that great opening convention night...

[reflection]

Head on over to 538 today. You won't be sorry.

(Yes, I know it's not over. No, I am not relaxing. Yes, we have work to do. I am cautiously optimistic. Your mileage may vary. Use of this product may cause vertigo, slurred speech, and tingling of extremities. Do not taunt Happy Fun Ball, etc.)

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

[cally]

1. Please tell us what's at the blog

Some of us would rathernot click a link without some idea of what's over there.

[reflection]

2. Here's the beginning of it

I’ve been tiptoeing around this point, because I don’t think that our forecast model ought to represent the totality of our analysis about the election.

But if you look at the right-hand column of this page, you’ll notice that our forecast has moved toward Barack Obama over the past several days. It now gives him about a three-in-four chance of winning the Electoral College on Nov. 6.

There's nothing else at the link that should give you pause. 538 is a well-respected blog for this sort of thing.

[CaliforniaPeggy]

3. I rather did think your post was about 538...

I'm not a bit surprised...

Thanks!