HomeLatest ThreadsGreatest ThreadsForums & GroupsMy SubscriptionsMy Posts
DU Home » Latest Threads » jimmy the one » Journal
Page: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Next »

jimmy the one

Profile Information

Gender: Male
Member since: Wed Nov 7, 2012, 08:26 AM
Number of posts: 2,656

Journal Archives

Ukrainian Invasion Celebration Spectacular - SNL

Finally! after a long time, Saturday Night Live comes up with a really good 8 minute long political satire.

Live from New York, it's hilarious:

Posted by jimmy the one | Sun Mar 6, 2022, 08:05 AM (3 replies)

Do not trust Real Clear Politics polling average

Rasmussen & Trafalgar are both crap polls (Computer Responsive Automated Polling), as well as another sense of crap. Automated telephone polls, no human interaction. They both are republican pollsters and pad to the right.
When trump was pres, rasmussen padded his approval numbers by 6 to 8 pts above the rest of the field average. While Biden's been president, rasmussen has counter padded his approval by 8 to 10 pts lower. This is corroborated by nate silver's 538 poll website, which includes rasmussen in its presidential approval poll average, but anti-biases rasmussen, currently by 8 pts.
Real Clear Politics (RCP) also has a presidential approval poll average, but does not ant-bias pollster results, it lists all polls at face value, including rasmussen which skews the poll to the right consistently.

Here is the mar 04, 2022 rasmussen poll from '538' pollsters: :

Rasmussen 1,500LV 42% .. 55% /// adjusted:-44% .. 49%

Note rasmussen's face value 42% approval for Biden, with 55% dissapproval; so 55 - 42 = - 13 net difference. Note the adjusted value which '538' assigns as 44% approval to 49% disapproval, for a -5 net difference. So rather than -13 net disapproval, 538 adjusts rasmussen to only -5 disapproval, which is what is included in their daily poll average. On the RCP polling average, the -13 net diff is what they include for rasmussen. Biden bashing rasmussen padded 8 pts to biden's disapproval, according to 538's historical analysis of rasmussen (note: even tho other reputable polls currently have bidens' net approval ratings worse than rasmussens, is because rasmussen strategically pads to try to appear reputable when other pollsters are showing poor results for dems). https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/?ex_cid=rrpromo

Here's the mar 04 2022 marist poll which showed an 8 pt biden bump after sotu address:

Marist: 47% appr ... 50% disapproval /// adjusted 48% .. 50%

Marist has a -3 net disapproval for biden, which 538 anti-biased by 1 (marist leaned 1 to R, actually pretty fair pollster) to 48 to 50 for an adjusted net diff of -2.
The adjusted net difference is what 538 includes in it's presidential poll averages. RCP includes face value, which allows crappy pollsters like rasmussen and trafalgar and harris (R) to cheat and skew RCP average to the right, by about 1 or 2 pts better for republican and worse for democrats in the poll average (since there are usually a dozen or so polls in the polling average, it doesn't reflect as a larger comparative difference thanks for that anyway)
Rasmussen also is included in EVERY SINGLE PRESIDENTIAL APPROVAL POLL done by 538 and RCP. That is because rasmussen is a tracking poll and posts a (padded) presidential poll result every working day as it averages a rolling 3 day track.
Most reputable pplls post a presidential approval poll only once a month, like pew, gallup, quinn, nbc, cbs, abc and yes fox in this case. However, the daily RCP and 538 polling average only includes polls within a drop-back period of approx 18 days, wherein if the poll is older than 18 days it is no longer included in the polling average. Thus more reputable polls are excluded after 18 days and are not included almost half the time, while the padding rasmussen is included EVERY SINGLE POLL.
Since 538 'adjusts', it compensates, but Real Clear Politics (RCP) does not adjust or anti-bias and allows it's poll to be skewed by rasmussen. That is because real clear politics is better pronounced real queer politics.

Proof: Mar 4 presidential polling avg from '538': 52.4 disappr, 42.6 appr = net 9.8 disapproal
........ Mar 4 pres polling avg Real Clear Politics: 53.5 disappr, 41.6 appr = net 11.9 disapproval

That, ladies and gentlemen, is the rasmussen padding effect.
(both poll averages often are closer & infrequently RCP will even do better for dems, since they might be using different pollsters for that time period, but when the same pollsters are used in the avg, RCP sucks for dems)

Having a bias of 1 or 2 pts is pretty normal. But 8 pts is abnormal. Trafalgar was 5 pts R, there is one pollster 4 D, I forget which.
Posted by jimmy the one | Sat Mar 5, 2022, 07:39 AM (7 replies)

Gun laws were everywhere in early America: CNN sun aug 29, 9pm

Gun laws were everywhere in early America

I've been saying that for decades..... jimmy

Watch CNN Films' "The Price of Freedom" on CNN TV without commercial interruption starting at 9 p.m. ET on Sunday, August 29.

No Commercials! My dweam come twue! Twuth without spin and con jobs!


CNN Films Sun Aug 29, 2021 9pm ET/6pm PT An unflinching look at the gun violence epidemic in America and the role the National Rifle Association, with its outsized political and cultural influence, has played over time.
Featuring passionate pleas from President William J. Clinton, Representative Lucy McBath (D-GA) and Senator Chris Murphy (D-CT); NRA Board Member and former NRA President David Keene, and activists on all sides of the issue, The Price of Freedom presents a compelling case for those brave enough to take a stand against the NRA in defense of our communities and collective future.
Posted by jimmy the one | Wed Aug 25, 2021, 02:49 PM (6 replies)

Elephant murder done by the LaPierrre-heads - sick

Warning: if you love elephants like me and most all of us on this board and across america, this video will be very disturbing. If you abhor watching animals be killed for no reason, watch at your own peril - disgust and tears likely to occur.
It shows two elephants being murdered, for fun, for trophy, for a thrill, one quick one slow, by the demented leader of the national rifle association, and his demented wife. She actually thinks cutting off the elephants tail for identification, is 'cool'.

The judas iscariot guides are not much better, egging on the demented pair with when to wait, where to shoot, and back slapping with sickening praise afterwards, as if they had just stopped a mass shooting in the Okavango Delta.
This is not hunting, it is shooting big fish in a barrel, and giggling about it.



After guides tracked down an elephant for her, Susan killed it, cut off its tail, and held it in the air. “Victory!” she shouted, laughing. “That’s my elephant tail. Way cool.”
Posted by jimmy the one | Tue Aug 24, 2021, 06:39 AM (8 replies)

Sick video, elephant murder with the LaPierre-heads

Warning: if you love elephants like me and most of us on this board and across america, this video will be very disturbing. If you abhor watching animals be killed for no reason do not watch it. It shows two elephants being murdered, for fun, for trophies, for a thrill, one quick one slow, by the demented leader of the national rifle association, and his demented wife. She actually thinks cutting off the elephants tail for identification, is 'cool'.



Maybe something we can all agree on. This is sick. It is not hunting. It is shooting fish in a barrel, and giggling about it.
(cross post from GCRA)
Posted by jimmy the one | Sun Aug 22, 2021, 08:16 AM (3 replies)

Sick video, elephant murder-hunting with the LaPierre-heads

Warning: if you love elephants like me and most all of us on this board and across america, this video will be very disturbing. If you abhor watching animals be killed for no reason do not watch it. It shows two elephants being murdered, for fun, for trophies, for a thrill, one quick one slow, by the demented leader of the national rifle association, and his demented wife. She actually thinks cutting off the elephants tail for identification, is 'cool'.


Posted by jimmy the one | Sun Aug 22, 2021, 08:03 AM (4 replies)

MSNBC's egregious misrepresentation of 'BREAKING NEWS'

MSNBC is one of my favorite shows, typically watch it for hours daily. What I do not care for is their annoying habit of fabricating BREAKING NEWS, emboldened in red at the screen bottom, for ordinary daily events, dated stories, continuances of a status quo, or for what the guest of the hour has to say about something. This is simply ‘fake’ breaking news.
BREAKING NEWS, properly, is a newsworthy event which is breaking during the day, or broke during the overnight, with leeway for further new developments during the following days. A mass shooting in progress, a notable death, a notable court decision, a bombing these days, a natural disaster, something truly newsworthy and just happening often in the moment, or a continuance of something important which is ongoing, such as taliban takeover in Afghanistan. Usually after a day or two ‘breaking news’ should be substituted with ‘updates’.

BREAKING NEWS is NOT what about half MSNBC news hour hosts generally put up as BREAKING NEWS. Here are some examples I’ve seen the past year., in their totality:
1. BREAKING NEWS; Gymnasts go maskless in Miami. Then a short video of ~50 gymnasts riding exercise bikes, most all maskless. This is insulting. No more breaking news than a parking lot fender bender.
2. BREAKING NEWS: Republicans divided on vaccine push. Whee. On Trump as well, but this was well known for months, not BREAKING NEWS.
3. BREAKING NEWS: {Capitol riot] Jan 06 committee may subpoena GOP members. It becomes breaking news when actually subpoenaed, not just that some might be. This gem was on Nicole Wallaces show august 2, as if it wasn’t known subpoenas were possible for a couple months.
4. BREAKING NEWS: One on one with state dept spokesperson.. A dozen issues breaking NOW! On our show! From a govt official whose name you would not recognize!

I have seen simply the names of guests as BREAKING NEWS, as in BREAKING NEWS: Bernie Sanders. I waited 30 seconds to see what the breaking news from good man Bernie was, when they cut to commercial. Came back on, did not change for 10 seconds when they dropped it. This is sensationalism. It is annoying, deceptive, and MSNBC is doing it for self serving reasons. Maybe MSNBC saw a nielson or gallup survey which noted that when BREAKING NEWS appeared on screen, it attracted viewers and retained viewers and made ratings spike. So some genius said ‘why don’t we put up BREAKING NEWS, ALL THE TIME? We will attract viewers, retain viewers, and our ratings will spike!“ Sorry chaps, not supposed to work that way.

Some hosts, or their producers, evidently forbid fake breaking news. I rarely see it on Morning Joe/Mika or Rachel Maddow, tho on occasion is not a stigma. I have seen it to varying annoying degrees from 9am Stephanie to 11pm Brian Wms, including Todd, Melber, Mohedin, Joy, O’Donnell, plus Nicole Wallace who seems to be the biggest offender. A typical Nicole show, not counting commercials or actual breaking news, is 75% or more fake breaking news. She’s a fine lady and announcer, but she really should stop and apologize. Whoever thought up this fake policy should be fired or demoted. Hosts must condone and know this is ongoing, how could they not? Nicole Wallace substituted for Rachel Maddow august 3rd & 5th, and not a fake breaking news did I see on Rachel’s 9pm hour, tho it abounds on Nicole’s 4 - 6 pm show.

One way to determine if a headline is truly BREAKING NEWS is to corroborate it with another major reputable TV station, my favorite is CNN. CNN is good with it, generally reserves BREAKING NEWS for truly breaking news. Often MSNBC calls it BREAKING NEWS while CNN calls it a New Development, or Update etc. This does not corroborate BREAKING NEWS, at least two reputable stations must specifically call it breaking news. Even FOX would do (tho FOX too often stands for Full Of X-crement). CNN does not employ fake breaking news, tho sometimes it inadvertently lists some I would call fake, but that is understandable and excusable if not done on a regular basis. If I see fake breaking news on MSNBC I will change the channel quickly, unless the issue is of particular interest.

A continuance of status quo is generally not breaking news. A common MSNBC ploy is to refer to old dated stories and use the word ‘continue’ in some form, to segue into their next discussion topic and to present to viewers a constant barrage of ‘new’ breaking news. Such as:
1. BREAKING NEWS: Arizona GOP vote audit continues. (tweaking a 4 month old story, yawn)
2. BREAKING NEWS: McConnell continues to oppose Jan 06 committee.
3. BREAKING NEWS: The fight to protect voting rights continues.
4. BREAKING NEWS: Jan 06 defendants continue to appear in court.
5. BREAKING NEWS: Trump and allies continue push to…..

Some others:
BREAKING NEWS: Congress has yet to make headway on other major issues - ‘No News’ can be ‘good news’, but is rarely ‘breaking news’.
BREAKING NEWS: Republicans refuse to listen to hearings. - DItto. Exploitation of the hearings.
BREAKING NEWS: Cohen says he {weisselburg] will flip. - Conjecture, is Cohen psychic? You could win the lottery, but it's not breaking news. PS- so far cohen is wrong.
BREAKING NEWS: Millions of Americans refusing to be vaccinated - aug 05. Duh, we know, Joy.
BREAKING NEWS: aug 05: Only 4.1% of Jamacains are vaccinated - Now do Borneo. Joy had a Jamaican guest on.
BREAKING NEWS: Tokyo Olympics to hold closing ceremonies sunday - Nicole. Oooh, you mean they’re not going to last forever?

The half hour evening news shows 6:30 pm, CBS, ABC, and NBC, all engage fake breaking news but to a smaller extent and usually constrained to the first 15 minutes. They thereby corroborate 'fake breaking news' frequently. This does not qualify to make it truly breaking news. Recent example august 2021:
1 NBC: BREAKING NEWS: What's next for US women superstars? - you asking us or telling us, Lester? Obvious this is not breaking news, but just a story line with flashing red lights ‘Look here! Look here!’

Ordinary events, tweaked stale news, mundane quotes from interviewed guests, even concoctions, just about anything to break up a boring news day by sensationalizing, is all par for the course on a typical day on MSNBC.
Please stop it.
Posted by jimmy the one | Wed Aug 18, 2021, 05:16 AM (44 replies)

Fox News: Full Of X-crement

Fox News published digitally altered and misleading photos on stories about Seattle's Capitol Hill Autonomous Zone (CHAZ) in what photojournalism experts called a clear violation of ethical standards for news organizations.

As part of a package of Fox's website for much of the day featured a photo of a man standing with a military style rifle in front of what appeared to be a smashed retail storefront.
The image was actually a mashup of photos from different days, taken by different photographers -- it was done by splicing a Getty Images photo of an armed man, who had been at the protest zone June 10, with other images from May 30 of smashed windows in downtown seattle.

F ull
O f

Posted by jimmy the one | Sat Jun 13, 2020, 05:53 AM (1 replies)

Coxsackie virus, maybe new york is just more susceptible

Coxsackie virus was first isolated from human feces in the town of Coxsackie, N.Y., in 1948 by G. Dalldorf. Coxsackie virus is also written as coxsackievirus in some publications.

Coxsackievirus is a member of the Picornaviridae family of viruses in the genus termed Enterovirus. Coxsackieviruses are subtype members of Enterovirus that have a single strand of ribonucleic acid (RNA) for its genetic material. The enteroviruses are also referred to as picornaviruses

Jeez, note the similarities with covid 19: Type B viruses cause epidemic pleurodynia (fever, lung, and abdominal pain with headache that lasts about two to 12 days and resolves). Epidemic pleurodynia is also termed Bornholm disease. There are six serotypes of coxsackievirus B (1-6, with B 4 considered by some researchers as a possible cause of diabetes in a number of individuals).

coxsackieviruses are contagious person to person. These viruses are transmitted mainly by the fecal-oral route and by respiratory aerosols. Droplets containing viruses that land on objects like toys or utensils may occasionally transmit the viruses indirectly to uninfected individuals.

How long are coxsackieviruses contagious?
Coxsackieviruses are most contagious during the first week of symptoms. However, viable virus microbes have been found in respiratory tracts for up to three weeks and then in feces up to eight weeks after initial infection, but during this time, the viruses are less contagious.


Good news is it doesn't appear to be fatal, or at least not highly so.

Posted by jimmy the one | Sat Apr 25, 2020, 07:55 AM (8 replies)

You can drink bleach, if diluted

I have seen on clorox style plastic bleach containers a 50 to 1 ratio to clarify cloudy or suspect water. However, follow CDC guidelines below.
Also hydrogen peroxide is a bleach and you can gargle with a half water, half hydrogen peroxide solution, before spitting it out. Go check your hydrogen peroxide bottle.
Drinking 150 proof whiskey or rum solution (in 'shot glasses') also can have positive affects if taken 'in moderation', since it's known to kill harmful gut bacteria, and beer has been drunk for centuries as a better alternative to (unbleached!) water which back then could cause outbreaks of gut disease.

How Much Bleach Is OK to Drink?
According to the U.S. EPA, drinking water should contain no more than four ppm (parts per million) chlorine. Municipal water supplies commonly deliver between 0.2 and 0.5 ppm chlorine. When bleach is added to water for emergency disinfection, it is highly diluted. Suggested dilution ranges from the Centers for Disease Control are eight drops of bleach per gallon of clear water up to 16 drops per gallon of cloudy water
Adding bleach to water is an effective way to make it safe to use as drinking water. Drinking undiluted bleach can kill you.

Note that highly diluted bleach can be another matter entirely. It is common practice to add a small amount of bleach to water to make it potable. The concentration is enough that the water has a slight chlorine (swimming pool) smell and taste but does not cause any harmful health effects.
 If it does, the concentration of bleach very likely is too high. Avoid adding bleach to water that contains acids, such as vinegar. The reaction between bleach and vinegar, even in a diluted solution, releases irritating and potentially dangerous chlorine and chloramine vapors.

Posted by jimmy the one | Sat Apr 25, 2020, 07:07 AM (22 replies)
Go to Page: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Next »