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dumptrump1's Journal
dumptrump1's Journal
March 3, 2020

poll:Sanders up big among Califormia hispanics


Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) is poised to win big among California Hispanics in the Democratic presidential primary, according to a new poll released Monday by Univision.

The poll, conducted by Latino Decisions, shows 42 percent of Hispanic voters in the state intend to vote for Sanders, while 15 percent favor former Vice President Joe Biden and 14 percent favor former New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg.

No other candidate breaks double-digit support from Hispanics in the primary.

Finally some good news for the Bernie Brigade!
March 3, 2020

what do you think will happen today?

Topsy turvy polls and 538 going insane, here is my prediction of who wins what states, although I am clueless on the margins or how delegates are awarded:

Bernie: american samoa, ca, tx,mn,vt,ma, me co and ut

Biden wins va, nc, ar, ok, Alabama, tn although Texas is looking like a pure tossup.

What say you?

March 3, 2020

Well I'm calling it for Joe tomorrow.

That Change Research Poll is highly favorable towards Bernie historically, and is giving Joe Virginia by 20 points. Expect it to look like SC. Same with Texas, North Carolina and the rest of the South. There are still a lot of states left, and if Warren loses her own state, she will likely drop out soon, and her supporters will flock to Bernie like Joe's did to Biden. Maybe so. Maybe not. Who has good liquor recommendations?

March 2, 2020

DFA Overwhelmingly Endorses Bernie Sanders

On Monday, the progressive political action committee Democracy for America — a group that wanted Elizabeth Warren to run for president even before she did — announced that it is endorsing Bernie Sanders.

“Bernie Sanders has built a powerful multi-racial, multi-generational movement and we’re excited to join the campaign at this critical moment in the Democratic race,” Charles Chamberlain, the group’s chairman, said in a prepared statement. “From Super Tuesday to the Democratic Convention in Milwaukee, we’ll be working every day to make sure Bernie wins the most votes, the most delegates, and the most states.”
DFA said Sanders received nearly 80 percent of the vote in a membership survey, with more than 38,000 votes cast over an 11-day period.

March 2, 2020

My super tuesday speculation

Based on 538 and rcp averages and my stupid opinion...

Bernie wins: CA, CO, UT, WA, MA, VT, ME, Democrats Abroad
Biden wins: TN, AL, AR, OK
Tossups leaning Klobuchar: MN
Tossups leaning Bernie: VA and TX
Tossups leaning Biden: NC

We'll see what polls say tomorrow and how things shifted because of Saturday's events. If this happens, then after super tuesday,

Bernie would have had more delegates after super tuesday than Biden in MN, WA, NH, VT, ME, MA, IA, CO, VA, TX, DA, NV, CA, MN and UT

And Biden would be leading Bernie in delegates in TN, AL, AR, OK, NC and SC...

I'm clueless on where the delegate math will stand on this especially if some states are as close as 538 says they could be and who becomes unviable in which states with the continuous fluidity of the race.

March 1, 2020

Switching to Bernie from Bloomberg

It is doubtful Bloomberg will win the nomination, so I'm going with my second choice with the only mass movement capable of beating Trump.

March 1, 2020

Anybody else catch that after November, South Carolina may very well have

2 African American Senators? That would be pretty amazing!

February 27, 2020

Bernie Sanders: Bernie Bruh


February 25, 2020

with 2.5% of delegates chosen, Bernie leads by 20%

This is equivalent to 2.5 percent of precincts reporting and Bernie being ahead by 20% on election night. Only election night is 4 months long and we have that amount of time to change things. Rallying around bloomberg -who has the most amount of resources to buy advertising, dilute Bernie's message, and air his dirty laundry is the only option at this point.

February 24, 2020

Bloomberg has the largest number of resources and cash

To build on his campaign to beat Trump. Bernie's policies are too extreme to attract the votes of middle America, and thus his electability is in question. Why shouldn't I vote for Bloomberg?

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