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KelleyKramer

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Member since: 2002
Number of posts: 4,594

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Beto O'Rourke may have lost, but tonight Texas Democrats gained...



.@BetoORourke may have lost, but tonight Texas Democrats gained...

- two U.S. House seats
- two state Senate seats
- at least 11 state House seats #txsen #txlege


https://twitter.com/PatrickSvitek/status/1060058972328259584


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Posted by KelleyKramer | Wed Nov 7, 2018, 03:43 AM (3 replies)

This was the 2nd biggest wave election of the last quarter century




The NYT currently projects a national popular-vote margin of D+9.2%. For comparison, the last five largest margins, considered wave elections:

1994: R+7.1%
2006: D+8.0%
2008: D+10.6%
2010: R+7.2%
2014: R+5.7%

By historical standards, it's a popular wave.


https://twitter.com/SamWangPhD/status/1060005151321276416


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Posted by KelleyKramer | Wed Nov 7, 2018, 03:29 AM (9 replies)

Women just made history, winning more congressional seats in this election than ever before!




It’s official: Women just made history, winning more congressional seats in this election than ever before


https://twitter.com/voxdotcom/status/1060055840349151232


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Posted by KelleyKramer | Wed Nov 7, 2018, 03:19 AM (1 replies)

Dems kicked ass in Colorado tonight! ....



How dominant were Democrats in Colorado tonight? They now control:

- governor
- secretary of state (beat well-liked incumbent R)
- treasurer
- attorney general
- majority in both chambers of state legislature
- a majority (4/7, up from 3/7) of the state's congressional seats


https://twitter.com/alex_burness/status/1060059873868533760


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Posted by KelleyKramer | Wed Nov 7, 2018, 02:24 AM (4 replies)

How Thousands of Already Cast Florida Ballots Could Be Tossed Aside Without Voters Knowing



How Thousands of Already Cast Florida Ballots Could Be Tossed Aside Without Voters Knowing

The state’s signature match law disproportionately affects young and minority voters.


https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2018/11/signature-matching-florida-absentee-ballots/


?w=990


Since moving to Florida in 2007, Paul Cauchi has voted in person in his Miami-Dade county precinct. But this year, after the county made a big push for vote-by-mail, he decided to give it a try. He labored over the lengthy ballot stuffed with amendments, then, as he recalls, carefully signed the envelope and sent it in.

But when he went on the county’s online voter information portal earlier this week to ensure that his ballot had been counted, he discovered an error message: his signature either didn’t match the version on record with the county, or he had failed to sign the envelope at all. “I felt really frustrated by it, and disappointed,” he told Mother Jones. “This is probably happening to other people.”


Florida is one of a handful of states with a signature-matching law. Such laws require that the signature on the envelope of an absentee ballot match the signature on file with county election officials. In a state with razor tight races for governor, US Senate, and many House of Representatives seats, absentee ballots rejected over signature issues could prove greater than the candidates’ margins of victory. Signature problems affect voters of all of all parties and demographics, but data shows young and minority voters, as well as registered Democrats more broadly, are more likely to have their ballots rejected. While Florida counties are required to notify and provide voters with signature problems a chance to correct them before Election Day, county procedures vary widely, and the same demographic groups are less likely to be given an opportunity to fix any error.


In Florida, each county’s three-member canvassing board decides whether a signature matches. “There’s no expert or standard,” says Daniel Smith, the head of the political science department at the University of Florida. “It’s in the eye of the beholder.”


More on the link-

https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2018/11/signature-matching-florida-absentee-ballots/


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Posted by KelleyKramer | Mon Nov 5, 2018, 10:52 PM (2 replies)

We found that between November 4th and 5th, 40% of "MAGA" tweets came from automated accounts

The Republicans are now a soulless empty shell of a party. All they have left are lies, racism, hate and.. astro turf ....



How Bots Are Hijacking the Political Conversation Just Before the Election

40 percent of “MAGA” tweets came from automated accounts.



https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2018/11/twitter-bots-midterm-election-disinformation-maga-caravan-cruz-beto-iran/

?w=990


When President Donald Trump tweeted about a caravan of immigrants heading to the US border in late October, it set off a wildfire of misinformation on social media. Posts on Facebook and Twitter spread conspiracy theories that Democratic donor George Soros was funding the migrants and the false allegation that the group included terrorists and gang members.

It turns out it wasn’t just Republicans latching on the story—it was also Twitter bots. Mother Jones partnered with RoBhat Labs, a non-partisan social media firm that reports bot activity, to show the scope of disinformation circulating on Twitter before the election. The following data was collected over a course of 24 hours between November 4th to November 5th:


?w=990


In order to detect automated, bot-like behavior, RoBhat collects sample tweets from Twitter’s application programming interface and runs them through a machine learning model. The model looks for red flags indicating non-human activity, such as a high posting frequency. The tool used by RoBhat, FactCheck.Me, has an approximately 1-2 percent false positive rate according to the company.

While Bot-like behavior can manipulate and distort otherwise authentic conversation on Twitter, it does not necessarily mean that accounts are connected to a political influence campaign or foreign operation. In many cases, the content amplified by bots can come from mainstream news sources or was first shared by public figures. Tweets can also often mention multiple topics — for instance, many of the tweets mentioning Beto O’Rourke and Sen. Ted Cruz also mentioned the opposing candidate.

?w=474


Days before the midterm elections, Twitter is still scrambling to cut down on platform manipulation. Last week, the company had to apologize after “Kill All Jews” showed up as a trending topic in New York. And on Friday, Reuters reported that the platform had removed more the 10,000 accounts posting automated messaging that discouraged voting and posed as Democrats. The accounts were flagged by the Democratic National Committee, which used consulting groups, including RoBhat, to uncover the accounts.


More on the link-

https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2018/11/twitter-bots-midterm-election-disinformation-maga-caravan-cruz-beto-iran/



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Posted by KelleyKramer | Mon Nov 5, 2018, 10:40 PM (3 replies)

NEW at Cook Political: 10 final House rating changes. Biggest moves are towards Dems:



NEW at @CookPolitical: 10 final House rating changes. Biggest moves are towards Dems:

#FL25: Diaz-Balart (R) - Likely R to Lean R
#GA06: Handel (R) - Lean R to Toss Up
#MI06: Upton (R) - Likely R to Lean R
#PA10: Perry (R) - Lean R to Toss Up
#WA08: OPEN (R) - Toss Up to Lean D



https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1059430940890533888



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Posted by KelleyKramer | Mon Nov 5, 2018, 09:16 PM (0 replies)

Trump's midterm campaign the most 'overt appeal to white racial resentment' since George Wallace



CNN analyst deems Trump’s midterm campaign as the most ‘overt appeal to white racial resentment’ since George Wallace

https://www.rawstory.com/2018/11/cnn-analyst-deems-trumps-midterm-campaign-as-an-overt-appeal-to-white-racial-resentment/






On Monday, CNN’s Wolf Blitzer panel said that President Donald Trump’s midterm strategy was the most “overt” racist campaign they’ve ever seen.

Trump has been peddling fear and loathing ahead of the election on Tuesday. Even cable networks including Fox News pulled Trump’s ad from their channels because it was filled with straight lies.


Analyst Ron Brownstein said that Trump might lose some Republican votes because people cannot align with his values anymore. “The reason why Republicans are facing widespread losses in wide collar suburbs that are the places doing the best in this thriving economy is that many college-educated white voters who ordinarily vote Republicans on economics simply cannot abide by Trump on values and the way he comports himself,” he said.

“And the way he has chosen to finish the election. I mean this is the most overt appeal to white racial resentment since George Wallace from a national figure,” he said.


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Posted by KelleyKramer | Mon Nov 5, 2018, 08:49 PM (5 replies)

Look how many volunteers showed up to go door to door for Max Rose in NY11 ! Wow!


This is outstanding!!!


18 second video clip, be sure to catch the very end.. they are all the way down the street! ....


https://twitter.com/courtneycgross/status/1058755011444961280


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Posted by KelleyKramer | Sun Nov 4, 2018, 02:37 AM (7 replies)

Conservative Fort Worth Star-Telegram newspaper endorses Beto O'Rourke for Senate


This is great news. Some Star-Telegram past endorsements include:

-George W. Bush
-Mitt Romney
-John Cornyn
-Kay Bailey Hutchison



For U.S. Senate: Electing Beto O’Rourke is good business


https://www.star-telegram.com/opinion/editorials/article220649100.html


U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke and U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz represent the hard left and right of American politics. Neither stands in the middle ground, where the real work is done to lead America. But only O’Rourke seems interested in making deals or finding middle ground. That is why the El Paso Democrat would make the best senator for Tarrant County’s future, and the future of Texas.

O’Rourke’s “new way” campaign against politics-as-usual has drawn attention, and also money. But much of what he says, particularly about immigration and healthcare, sounds like what Texas business conservatives used to say before the emergence of New York Republican Donald Trump.

U.S. Sen. John Cornyn says we shouldn’t deport Dreamer students over their parents’ mistakes. Former Gov. Rick Perry, now energy secretary, has said a border wall “doesn’t make sense.” President George W. Bush endorsed a path to legal status for those who came illegally but worked peacefully, supported the economy and showed good character.

These are the same Texas values that O’Rourke now defends.

Texas House Speaker Joe Straus wanted to beef up spending on public schools and find a “Texas solution” to improve healthcare coverage under the Affordable Care Act.

O’Rourke now champions both.


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