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Amishman

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Member since: Wed Nov 12, 2014, 11:35 AM
Number of posts: 1,425

About Me

A blue dot in the red sea of PA\'s amish country.

Journal Archives

Bump stock ban is finalized, banned from sale and 90 days to surrender

https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2018/11/28/politics/final-bump-stock-ban/index.html

My worry is that this too good, especially from Trump.

By executive order and with no compensation offered, I am wondering if this is intentional to try and set up a quick Supreme Court ruling overturn a lot of existing laws now that they have their right wing majority firmly in place on the SCOTUS.

Anyone have updates on where Tester's race stands?

Is the 16% outstanding absentee votes or just precincts which couldn't report last night for some reason?

If it's the latter, I think Tester survives easily. If it's the former I'll be nervous as absentee usually older voters who trend more conservative

Can't seem to find any info on when we might know this one

please ignore 538, their model is spazzing. Try the NYT

The NYT site is easy to use and their predictor factors in where votes are outstanding, not just what is in so far

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/11/06/us/elections/results-house-elections.html

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/11/06/us/elections/results-house-forecast.html

they don't seem to have enough results for the latter to be running yet

Montana Senate just got tighter, libertarian candidate withdraws and endorses Republican

https://www.yahoo.com/news/libertarian-backs-republican-tight-montana-senate-race-180339933--election.html

Nate Silver's adjusted lead on the last to polls were 4 and 6 percent with a tightening trend. This will probably give Rosendale an extra 1-2%

Collins to announce her voting intention at 3pm today from Senate floor

https://www.newscentermaine.com/mobile/article/news/local/sen-susan-collins-will-announce-her-vote-on-kavanaugh-today/97-601146413

Not sure what to make of this, I really didn't expect her to hint at anything before the vote. Perhaps her principles won out and she is making a speech to push the other fence sitters to vote No?

Where is our counter proposal tax bill?

The best way to underscore the flaws in the Pubs tax bill would be to offer our own. It also counters their claims of obstructionism. I think everyone can agree the current convoluted nightmare of tax regs and loopholes is an abomination. We need to show America what real tax reform should look like.

Why haven't we put forth our own proposal?

I support Kurdish Independence, where does DU stand?

They are a distinct people who have democratically voted for Independence in what appears to be a true open referendum. They have been brutally oppressed in their 80+ year push for self governance. They have a more open and tolerant culture than many of their neighbors. It is time, they have earned it.

shooter's girlfriend had multiple SSNs and two simultaneous marriages story retracted

EDIT: STORY RETRACTED AS BAD INFORMATION.

sorry for the delay in updating this, I was at work

[link:http://www.newsweek.com/marilou-danley-gunmans-girlfriend-social-security-number-677033|

Inertia and fear of upsetting their base.

They've spent over a month talking the guy up and he managed not to Bork himself in the hearings. Political capital was spent and they would lose face if they backed down.

The deplorables would also crucify them if Gorsuch was withdrawn and the new pick was at all more moderate. Gorsuch might be the most moderate appointment that Trump's loud hardcore base would accept.

The gap between the progressive activists and conservative zealots has never been wider.
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