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What do you think will happen in Egypt now? What are the likely outcomes?

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Skip Intro Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-11-11 08:50 PM
Original message
What do you think will happen in Egypt now? What are the likely outcomes?
I know everyone is rejoicing in the whole people over power victory. An amazing thing to see. But what, do you think is likely to happen now? How might this all turn out? Surely, all scenarios aren't desirable. Military in charge of a government gives me chills. What happens now?
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HysteryDiagnosis Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-11-11 08:53 PM
Response to Original message
1. Isn't it obvious??
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Skip Intro Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-11-11 08:53 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. The rofl smiley was meant for your response.
:rofl:
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FSogol Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-11-11 08:54 PM
Response to Original message
3. Country-wide Dance Party?
:shrug:
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FLPanhandle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-11-11 08:55 PM
Response to Original message
4. 50/50 Chance of improvement
I'd say they have even odds of things getting better or worse.

Better than the 0% chance they had before, but still not great.
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The Magistrate Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-11-11 08:56 PM
Response to Original message
5. The Military Will Continue To Hold Power, Sir
They have been the real power there since Nasser, and have the respect of the populace. Political control will be loosened, but there will be bounds, which a predominant portion of the people will think broad enough. Think Turkey for most of the post-Ataturk twentieth century.
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nadinbrzezinski Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-11-11 09:00 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. Because of things like facebook
I expect more liberal treatment, and an actual parliament with power. But it will be interesting to watch.

We will get some form of democracy... just not Jeffersonian.
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The Magistrate Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-11-11 09:04 PM
Response to Reply #7
10. Most Will Consider It a Great Improvement, Ma'am
And doubtless there will be some churning among the holders of patronage work....
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nadinbrzezinski Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-11-11 09:05 PM
Response to Reply #10
11. I know
:hi:

And that will be good for the region too.
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Dappleganger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-11-11 08:59 PM
Response to Original message
6. An sharp increase in births 9 months from now.
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HysteryDiagnosis Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-11-11 09:02 PM
Response to Reply #6
9. We can call them the maybe boomers, cuz maybe they were gonna get this
thing done, or maybe they weren't.
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harun Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-11-11 09:01 PM
Response to Original message
8. Going to be a long struggle. At least those in power in Egypt will have a fear of the people now.
Unlike in the USA.
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Skip Intro Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-11-11 09:13 PM
Response to Reply #8
13. The thing about people getting into the streets here in the good old USA is that
you'd have tea baggers and their ilk, and then you'd have their opposites. There is no clear enemy, and for each side of "thought," there is an opposing side. There is no unifying force in America. There is no line left to be crossed here. Iraq came and people flooded the streets more than I've ever seen in my lifetime, and it made no difference. Now Condi and Rummy and Cheney and Bush are all talking about failures of intelligence, when we all know, us here, who watched it happen, that they're full of shit, that they are war criminals. But now they've become celebrities, at the whole Iraq debacle was due to bad intel. We know it's bullshit, but we've moved on, in no small part because the tv has told those still engaged in this debate that it is time to move on. There is little reason left in America. We are a divided nation, by recent design. Can't have a revolt with a divided nation.
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harun Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-11-11 09:33 PM
Response to Reply #13
15. Good points. A civil war is more likely in the USA than a revolution.
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sharesunited Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-11-11 09:05 PM
Response to Original message
12. A cleric strongman will emerge and all good Muslims will fall into line.
Until they reject religion, they are just trading one tyranny for another.
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Skip Intro Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-11-11 09:14 PM
Response to Reply #12
14. That is my fear. nt
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emilyg Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-11-11 09:59 PM
Response to Reply #12
16. I'm afraid you might be right.
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nadinbrzezinski Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-11-11 10:00 PM
Response to Reply #12
17. I respect your fear
but you should know Suharto was not replaced by a religious nut. And Turkey has been running quite free of it for close to 100 years.

A little historic perspective helps.
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tahrir Donating Member (158 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-11-11 10:15 PM
Response to Original message
18. It seems the military holds all the cards now, however
they will need to be sensitive to the will of the people considering what has just transpired.

I am hoping for the drafting of a new constitution, by a special commission made up of mostly civilians, that enshrines the rights of the people, and for them to be governed by representatives elected directly from the people.
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