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Have any polls ever been accurate a year before an election?

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pstokely Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-23-11 07:37 AM
Original message
Have any polls ever been accurate a year before an election?
Any poll is meaningless right now
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SharonAnn Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-23-11 08:23 AM
Response to Original message
1. They are probably accurate now, but not "predictive" of 13 months from now.
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H2O Man Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-23-11 08:24 AM
Response to Original message
2. The north pole
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pipi_k Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-23-11 08:53 AM
Response to Original message
3. Football analogy...
Week one of football season isn't indicative of what's going to happen 16 weeks later.


Polls more than a year out from the election? Fat chance.
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nomb Donating Member (884 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-23-11 10:00 AM
Response to Reply #3
8. Basketball works better. They're anyones to win until the last few minutes....
Edited on Fri Sep-23-11 10:01 AM by nomb
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pstokely Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-23-11 11:20 AM
Response to Reply #3
9. Unless you're the Chiefs (nt)
nt
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Nye Bevan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-23-11 09:00 AM
Response to Original message
4. I remember Dukakis being way ahead of Bush in the polls (nt)
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valerief Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-23-11 09:28 AM
Response to Original message
5. Polls give news media something to report instead of actual facts the public would prefer to hear.
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Bluenorthwest Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-23-11 09:40 AM
Response to Original message
6. Of course not. At this point, the only polling that might indicate
anything of value would be polls of Republicans about the GOP Primary, which is much closer to the general election. This far out, General Election polling is just busy work for the consulting industry.
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nomb Donating Member (884 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-23-11 09:58 AM
Response to Original message
7. Of course yes. Just as a broken clock is right twice a day. But predictive? No way.
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