And there is no one who has been suggested who is even interested.
And the fact that it does not do what they think it will do:
http://www.aquariusmoon.info/whitehouse/
The Empty Primary: Primarying Obama
By CarolDuhart@Aquariusmoon, on August 20th, 2011
There’s a reason why there have only been two Democratic Presidents in the last 30 years. There’s this persistent belief that primarying a President is going to force him to the left. That if we primary him, he will pay attention to the left and bring about the liberal utopia. When that doesn’t work, we then run a third party no-hoper like Nader in the hope that it would send a message. Then the next 4-8 years are spent complaining about the Republican who wins in the end. The Republicans did it twice: 1976 and 1992, and learned their lesson. There was actually no drumbeat of “primary Bush” at all, even among those who wondered where the emphasis on social conservatism went.
Why doesn’t it work? Victory depends upon attracting swing voters who really don’t pay all that much attention to intra-party issues. When a President runs again, the President is in the General Election mode from the start and has to defend a record. So, it’s his actions, not his ideology, that’s most important this time around. To swing voters, there’s no advantage in intra-party ideology. They, not the party base, will determine the President’s fate. Swing voters are either further to the left, or right, of the party base, and often on differing issues than that base. So a party challenge on issues that are often obscure to swing voters leads to an image of confusion and disarray, not clarity.
Voters wonder why a party who happily elected a President four years ago would suddenly turn on him for seemingly minor reasons. If he was good enough to elect, why isn’t he good enough to defend?
Right now, the Republican meme is to spread a meme of Presidential weakness and Progressive disillusionment. Why? It’s clear that the Republican opponents to Obama have big, glaring weaknesses of temperament that will make them a hard sell to moderates and swing voters. Not to mention that at least two candidates will not solidify the Republican base at all. Michele Bachmann appeals to the base, but the Republican Party isn’t going to gamble with nominating a woman-especially a woman who has never won statewide, a fatal flaw in a Presidential candidate. It’s the same flaw that dooms a Dennis Kucinich or an Alan Grayson-the inability to at least bring a state’s votes. Romney is a Mormon, a denomination that many orthodox Republican Christians think is at best a mysterious cult. Voter suppression may not really work: activists are paying attention to the methods and are working around those methods, and with OFA on the ground, there will be real help for the suppressed. Also, Obama still has strong approval ratings among the base: 55% Conservative Democrats, 85% among African-American, and Liberal Democrats 83%, and when you consider who the alternatives would be, you could easily add 10% more in actual votes. Faced with the possible loss of a lot of Conservative-leaning moderate votes, the only hope is that the Democrats stay home.
Printer-friendly format
Email this thread to a friend
Bookmark this thread
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
