NOVEMBER 17, 2009
In Palin Tour, No Sign of 2012 Run
By PETER WALLSTEN
One of the biggest questions about Sarah Palin's new book is whether her promotional tour, which starts this week, is a prelude to a 2012 presidential bid. So far, the answer appears to be no, at least according to Republican activists in Iowa and New Hampshire. The two early-voting states are buzzing with Republicans angling for support to challenge President Barack Obama. Ms. Palin is conspicuously absent. Would-be rivals Mitt Romney, the former governor of Massachusetts, Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty and former New York Gov. George Pataki called the newly elected Republican mayor of Manchester, N.H., with good wishes this month. But not a peep from Ms. Palin.
Ms. Palin's book tour includes a Dec. 6 stop in Sioux City, Iowa. But she declined an invitation to appear at a Nov. 21 fund-raiser for the conservative Iowa Family Policy Center, which had reserved a Des Moines sports arena in anticipation of her attendance. "All these other national figures are coming here to help us, and she's coming here to sell books," said an Iowa Republican official. Added Michael Dennehy, a Republican consultant who worked for 2008 nominee John McCain: "People are anxious to see what she's going to do, but at this point there's no evidence of Sarah Palin organizing in New Hampshire or having any interest in organizing." A spokeswoman for Ms. Palin didn't respond to a request for comment.
Whether or not she runs for president, Ms. Palin has over the past year amassed an enthusiastic following that gives her enormous influence in her party. Her ability to tap a large Web audience on the social-networking site Facebook, as well as a growing email database at her political action committee, SarahPAC, means Ms. Palin can mobilize grassroots activists who operate outside the traditional party establishment.. A similar model of building support outside the party structure helped Mr. Obama build his campaign last year while collecting 13 million email addresses that White House strategists hope will turn into an enduring political force.
Ms. Palin also remains a polarizing figure. Just 27% of adults view her positively, according to last month's Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll. That sentiment, however, is shared by 52% of Republicans, and as a result, Ms. Palin's network is shaping up as the most energized bloc in the Republican Party. "We had a 16,000-seat arena, and the only person we could think of in the current mix
who could fill it was Sarah Palin," said Bryan English, spokesman for the Iowa Family Policy Center.
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Printed in The Wall Street Journal, page A4