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Other Important Findings The proportion of independent voters or non-partisans is now at 37%, one of the highest levels in the past 20 years of Pew Research Center polling. The share of independent voters has grown from 34% of registered voters in 2008.
Pew Research Center 8/25-9/6/10; 3,509 adults, 2% margin of error 2,816 registered voters, 2.5% margin of error 2,053 likely voters, 3% margin of error Mode: Live telephone interviews (Pew release)
National
2010 Congress: Generic Ballot Likely voters: 50% Republican, 43% Democrat (chart) Registered voters: 47% Democrat, 44% Republican
State of the Country 25% Satisfied, 71% Dissatisfied (chart)
Obama Job Approval 47% Approve, 44% Disapprove (chart) Dems: 81 / 15 (chart) Reps: 14 79 (chart) Inds: 40 / 45 (chart)
Favorable / Unfavorable Barack Obama: 53 / 43 (chart)
Party ID 32% Democrat, 24% Republican, 39% independent (chart
www.pollster.com
The Democratic Party’s advantage in party identification among registered voters has narrowed from a 10-point gap last year to a five-point gap in 2010 as Democrats have lost adherents and the Republican Party has gained supporters.
There has been little change in voting intentions over the course of the year. Registered voters have been closely divided in their preferences, while Republicans have enjoyed an advantage among voters most likely to cast a ballot in November.
As in previous midterms, older independents are more likely to vote Republican than are voters younger than 50, and independent men are much more inclined to cast a GOP ballot than they were four years ago.
Obama’s job approval rating among independent voters stands at just 39%; 50% disapprove of the president’s job performance. Still, Obama’s rating among independent voters is higher George W. Bush’s in September 2006 (29% approve/57% disapprove).
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