No big "wave" in Colorado?

[kentuck]

http://coloradopols.com/

<snip>
UPDATE: Over at DemNotes, Dan Slater runs some more historical numbers and finds a surge in voters...but with Democrats, not Republicans:

Statewide, Democrats have cast 37% of the votes to date; Republicans have cast 42% of the votes. That's a five-point difference between the two parties. In 2008, at the top of the Democratic surge, those numbers were even. However, in 2006 -- a good year for Colorado Democrats by any measure -- Republicans outvoted Democrats by SIX points.

Read that again: Democrats are voting early at a better clip than they did in 2006.

Folks, we've been saying the same thing here for months: Don't get caught up in the national narrative about a "Republican wave" of angry voters, because our ballots don't just say "Vote for All Republicans" or "Vote for All Democrats." Media outlets should be careful about blindly repeating this theory, because it's starting to look more and more like it was always just a theory.

We're not saying that Republicans aren't going to vote in higher numbers than Democrats -- they may -- but that doesn't exactly meet our definition of a "wave" or "surge."

[hlthe2b]

1. True, but if the RETHUGS vote in higher numbers now & on election day...

the result is very likely the same...:shrug:

I'm heartened by the fact Dems are getting to the polls early. But a part of me is afraid this means that there may be less on election day. Is it possible that they just don't want to risk unpleasant teabagger encounters on November 2?

I'm hopeful, but not going to get too overly optimistic.

[emulatorloo]

3. Will moderate Republicans really vote for Ken Buck? I think his abortion position is too extreme for

most people. But who the heck knows.

[hlthe2b]

4. Well, if you believe the polling, maybe...

Greed often trumps social issues for the RETHUGs.

[emulatorloo]

5. True.

[hlthe2b]

2. dupe