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Could the Republicans Have a Three-Way Split?

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liberalpragmatist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-16-07 11:20 PM
Original message
Could the Republicans Have a Three-Way Split?
Chances are it won't happen, but imagine that Rudy Giuliani wins the Republican nomination. Let's say that Chuck Hagel launches an independent or third-party bid (antiwar, "traditional conservative"). Then let's say that a prominent social conservative (maybe Tom Tancredo or a high-profile evangelical) launches a major pro-life (and maybe anti-immigration) independent bid.

It would almost certainly guarantee a Democratic victory. Something like 47% for the Democrat, 33% for the Republican, 15% for Hagel, and 4% for the pro-life bid.
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GreenPartyVoter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-16-07 11:22 PM
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1. It all depends on who owns the voting machines. n/t
.
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sellitman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-16-07 11:35 PM
Response to Reply #1
5. Bingo!
All of this doesn't matter. In an Electoral College system he who controls the machines wins.

*Hint (It ain't our side)
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aquart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-16-07 11:23 PM
Response to Original message
2. You poor sweet dear.
You actually believe the Republicans are a majority.

It doesn't matter if they run one candidate or twenty, honey. They smell. And no one wants to vote for garbage.
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ashling Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-16-07 11:27 PM
Response to Original message
3. Last night they had a 10 way spit
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TwilightGardener Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-16-07 11:29 PM
Response to Original message
4. They'll have a two-way, but not a three-way split.
Hagel is probably going to run Indy, AND he's socially conservative--there would be no need for an evangelical guy to run third-party. Plus the regular GOPer candidates are doing so much fundie ass-kissing, there's just no reason for anyone to break out on his own.
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Old and In the Way Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-16-07 11:55 PM
Response to Original message
6. A brokered convention would be great.
They may need to stock up on purple heart bandages for real.
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