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The "middlers" seem to be the key to the locked-up economy.
Poor people probably don't eat out much at places like Red Lobster, Chili's, CoCo's, Applebees, etc.
They probably also don't stay very often at hotels or travel that much by air or on cruises.
The probably don't go to "day-spas" or spend much on extras.
These seemingly insignificant "extras" are vital to the people who work IN those places. Without hours on the job, THEY have no money to spend for the little "extras" for their own families. They don't take that mini-vacation weekend or buy that new bedspread, or sign their kids up for sports. They rent movies instead of going to the theater.
The rich always do fine, no matter how loudly they whine about how tough things are for them..
Boo-Hoo, so they have to lay off the staff at their 3rd vacation home in the Hamptons, or maybe they lease the new jet instead of buying it...or they make-do with a 50ft yacht instead of the 80 footer.
They spend what they need for the things they want, and mostly do not want for anything, but they often "shop" in a tight inner-circle. Sure, someone somewhere makes the things they buy, but they probably contribute very little "shopping" to the mainstream retail economy.
Retail & Service is where most people work these days, and where the large bulk of spendable income is generated and recycled. The poor spend ALL their money in this arena, so they are more than "doing their fair share".
The middlers are the ones who are being "shy" these days...why?
Lets see:
If they HAVE a home, it's probably their one-and only, and is probably NOT "paid for". They are "renting" from a mortgage company or bank, and are probably paying a mortgage amount every month that is based on a value that has long-since dropped like a rock.
When they signed on the dotted line, they probably extended themselves as far as possible, being optimistic that their wages would keep up and the home-value would stay at least as good as then, or maybe even increase.
What they did NOT expect, was for them to be on the hook for payments on a home worth 1/3 to 1/2 less than their loans, or that they would be getting laid off or having hours cut dramatically. They did not count on having their 401-ks losing 1/4 to 1/3 value.
They did not expect their credit lines to be slashed or eliminated. They probably figured out pretty quickly that they had been relying on credit too much, but unlike banks, they had no bailout headed their way.
A logical response to all this, is to cut back on spending, and that's what we did.
The unfortunate part is that the "non-spending", in an economy comprised of 70% "service & shopping", took a mortal blow.
Without an massive infusion of aid to the middle class (and I DON'T mean tax cuts), nothing will change anytime soon.
No one in government has the power or guts to do what is really needed, so we will probably slog on as we are now, with foreclosures and layoffs continuing, for the foreseeable future.
What would/could help?:
1. Student loan forgiveness 2. Mortgage PRINCIPAL adjustment 3. Loan re-dos to eliminate the "adjustable" rates 4. Re-set of mortgage interest at 4% MAX..(big banks get $ @ 0%) 5. Cap credit card interest at 10% MAX, but reinstate realistic credit limits 6. Put vampire check-cashing/payday loan places out of business 7. Either "create" jobs, subsidize them or at least continue the unemployment benefits.
The goal is to PUT MONEY INTO THE HANDS OF PEOPLE WHO WILL SPEND IT.
That's in the here and now, but the long-range goal should be to get back into the business of actually making things we need. as long as we are hostage to doing each other's nails , serving food to each other, and shuffling papers for each other, we are always going to be insecure.
If we make the stuff we all need and want, we have a logical cycle again, and can earn, spend, save money derived from our own labors, and our own commerce. ( I know it sounds anti-globalization, but enough's enough sometimes, and if all our spending & buying is doing is generating profits for already rich corporate fat-cats, what's in it for US?)
I know that in the abstract, globalization sound great, but wasting fuel schlepping stuff made elsewhere all over the place is part of the climate change problem and the pollution problem, and the oil-hunger problem, as well as job insecurity.
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