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BBC reporting likely Hung Parliament led by Conservatives...

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brooklynite Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-06-10 04:02 PM
Original message
BBC reporting likely Hung Parliament led by Conservatives...
Exit Poll suggests:

Conservatives - 307 seats
Labour - 255
Liberal-Democrats - 59
Other parties - 20
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PM Martin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-06-10 04:03 PM
Response to Original message
1. Recall the 92 election.
The Labour majority never formed and the Cons had a small majority.
Possible this time?
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muriel_volestrangler Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-06-10 04:05 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. Still possible
That prediction is notable that the Lib Dems have actually lost one or two seats since 2005. :( What the fuck has happened?
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PM Martin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-06-10 04:08 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. Lib Dems being near 30%.
How did they lose seats?
How did the Cons get so many seats?
I was seeing this as a possibility:
Lab: 250+-
Con: 275
Lib 100+
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muriel_volestrangler Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-06-10 04:09 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. They must have dropoed below 25% to be that low
The supporters were younger than average; maybe they didn't vote after all.
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Sanity Claws Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-06-10 04:04 PM
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2. I thought the LIb-Dems were expected to do better than that
Labor and Lib-Dems together have more than COns alone. Couldn't they form a coalition government?
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brooklynite Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-06-10 04:06 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. Lib-Dems reported faded over the last week...
They could potentially form a Government with Labour, but I gather Clegg and Brown don't get along very well.
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muriel_volestrangler Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-06-10 04:08 PM
Response to Reply #2
6. That prediction doesn't even give them enough between the 2 of them
They need 323 (assuming Sinn Fein doesn't vote, which they've said they won't). 255+59=314. Add in a couple of independents, and 2 of 3 of SNP, Plaid and the SDLP, and they might make it.

Alex Salmond may be celebrating already. He may be even more of a kingmaker than the Lib Dems.
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malaise Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-06-10 04:10 PM
Response to Original message
8. Note this comment
10pm “first wave” exit poll data:
307 seats – Conservative Party
255 seats – Labour Party
59 seats – Liberal Democrat Party
29 seats – Other Parties
Exit poll results indicate a hung parliament with a strong conservative plurality. The 59 seat LD prediction is far under-performing pre-election polls so take this first data with a grain of salt.

http://www.rightpundits.com/?p=6184
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