Race seems to be tightening

[Richard D]

Not good news especially since this is (I believe) post debate. We've still got a lot of work to do. Seems like the McShame sewerage campaign might be having an effect.

Here's our daily composite of the five major national tracking polls. The presidential race may be starting to tighten up as we head into the final two weeks of the campaign, though Barack Obama is still ahead for now:

• Gallup: Obama 50%, McCain 46%, with a ±2% margin of error, compared to a 51%-45% Obama lead yesterday.

• Rasmussen: Obama 50%, McCain 45%, with a ±2% margin of error, compared to a 50%-46% Obama lead from yesterday.

• Hotline/Diageo: Obama 49%, McCain 42%, with a ±3.4% margin of error, compared to a 50%-40% Obama lead from yesterday.

• Research 2000: Obama 50%, McCain 43%, with a ±3% margin of error, compared to a 52%-42% Obama lead from yesterday.

• Zogby: Obama 48%, McCain 44%, with a ±2.9% margin of error, compared to a 49%-44% Obama lead yesterday.

Adding these polls together and weighting them by the square roots of their sample sizes, Obama is ahead 49.5%-44.3%, a lead of 5.2 points, compared to the 50.4%-43.9% Obama lead from yesterday.

http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com/2008/10/tpm_track_composite_presidenti.php

[kid a]

1. or not - changes not significant. GOTV, CANVASS, CALL, DONATE

[madaboutharry]

2. Please go to your local Obama office and

volunteer for GOTV.

[pnwmom]

3. You're comparing apples and oranges. Gallup's poll, for example, is their

"expanded likely voters" group. The numbers that USED to be reported (which were more favorable for Obama) were for their registered voters. Among registered voters, Gallup STILL finds a difference of 50-42%, Obama.