I think we can pull it out

[dtotire]

Interactive Real Clear Politics Electoral Map

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_mccain/

They have Obama 217, McCain 216, toss-up 105, but they have New Hampshire, Pennsylvania,Michigan, Colorado, and New Mexico as toss-up.

Nearly all polls in all these states have Obama leading slightly since September, so I think that will be the final result. That will give Obama 273 EV, which is enough to win.

[thereismore]

1. That's the "winning without OH" scenario, right? nt

[DarthDem]

2. Yes!

The win without OH or FL scenario. It may be the most viable and/or likely - - although I still think that Ohio, Virginia, or both (and maybe even Florida) will become much bluer, and maybe even flip, by Election Day. There's Nevada, too - - not to be discounted.

I should add that if the election were held today, I think Obama would win the 273 we're discussing.

[codjh9]

3. I'm an agnostic, but I pray for victory. DAMN we need to win!

[JBoris]

4. If you click "no toss-up states" you can clearly see

that even now, when Obama is at his lowest point in this campaign, the Electoral math just doesn't work for McPODubya.

[brazos121200]

5. Except that the latest polling shows McCaine has pulled slightly

ahead in New Mexico. But yes, even despite his recent reverses, Obama still has an edge in a majority of the "tossup" states.

[wryter2000]

6. If there's any reason left in the world

The Palin bounce fizzled last night.

[wryter2000]

7. another site

http://www.electionprojection.com/president08.shtml

Run by a conservative, no less.

[dtotire]

15. another site

He has added Nevada to my list of five; probably not as certain as the others.

[Stinky The Clown]

8. Why in the fuck are we talking about 'pulling it out"??????

We should be winning this running away.

[sarcasmo]

9. Pulling out, sucks!

[JTFrog]

10. That's what she said.

:eyes:

[bigtree]

11. careful with that optimism

. . . it might be contagious.

[gatorboy]

12. That's what Levi said.

Wakka wakka wakka wakka wakka!

[gatorboy]

13. Dupe!

Wakka Wakka Wakka Wakka Wakka!

[Tutonic]

14. Look at five thirty eight poll. tha'ts more reliable. That guy pretty

much called everything during the primary. Solid forecasting technique.