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The End of America's "Superpower"

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BurtWorm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-27-08 01:16 PM
Original message
The End of America's "Superpower"
Edited on Sun Jan-27-08 01:37 PM by BurtWorm
This is what happens to "the greatest country on the planet" when dumbasses on the right are permitted to hold power illegitimately for eight years. (But note that this trend toward American impotence has roots in the end of the cold war.)

From today's NY Times Magazine's cover story by Parag Khanna:

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/27/magazine/27world-t.html?pagewanted=all

The more we appreciate the differences among the American, European and Chinese worldviews, the more we will see the planetary stakes of the new global game. Previous eras of balance of power have been among European powers sharing a common culture. The cold war, too, was not truly an “East-West” struggle; it remained essentially a contest over Europe. What we have today, for the first time in history, is a global, multicivilizational, multipolar battle.

In Europe’s capital, Brussels, technocrats, strategists and legislators increasingly see their role as being the global balancer between America and China. Jorgo Chatzimarkakis, a German member of the European Parliament, calls it “European patriotism.” The Europeans play both sides, and if they do it well, they profit handsomely. It’s a trend that will outlast both President Nicolas Sarkozy of France, the self-described “friend of America,” and Chancellor Angela Merkel of Germany, regardless of her visiting the Crawford ranch. It may comfort American conservatives to point out that Europe still lacks a common army; the only problem is that it doesn’t really need one. Europeans use intelligence and the police to apprehend radical Islamists, social policy to try to integrate restive Muslim populations and economic strength to incorporate the former Soviet Union and gradually subdue Russia. Each year European investment in Turkey grows as well, binding it closer to the E.U. even if it never becomes a member. And each year a new pipeline route opens transporting oil and gas from Libya, Algeria or Azerbaijan to Europe. What other superpower grows by an average of one country per year, with others waiting in line and begging to join?

Robert Kagan famously said that America hails from Mars and Europe from Venus, but in reality, Europe is more like Mercury — carrying a big wallet. The E.U.’s market is the world’s largest, European technologies more and more set the global standard and European countries give the most development assistance. And if America and China fight, the world’s money will be safely invested in European banks. Many Americans scoffed at the introduction of the euro, claiming it was an overreach that would bring the collapse of the European project. Yet today, Persian Gulf oil exporters are diversifying their currency holdings into euros, and President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad of Iran has proposed that OPEC no longer price its oil in “worthless” dollars. President Hugo Chávez of Venezuela went on to suggest euros. It doesn’t help that Congress revealed its true protectionist colors by essentially blocking the Dubai ports deal in 2006. With London taking over (again) as the world’s financial capital for stock listing, it’s no surprise that China’s new state investment fund intends to locate its main Western offices there instead of New York. Meanwhile, America’s share of global exchange reserves has dropped to 65 percent. Gisele Bündchen demands to be paid in euros, while Jay-Z drowns in 500 euro notes in a recent video. American soft power seems on the wane even at home.

And Europe’s influence grows at America’s expense. While America fumbles at nation-building, Europe spends its money and political capital on locking peripheral countries into its orbit. Many poor regions of the world have realized that they want the European dream, not the American dream. Africa wants a real African Union like the E.U.; we offer no equivalent. Activists in the Middle East want parliamentary democracy like Europe’s, not American-style presidential strongman rule. Many of the foreign students we shunned after 9/11 are now in London and Berlin: twice as many Chinese study in Europe as in the U.S. We didn’t educate them, so we have no claims on their brains or loyalties as we have in decades past. More broadly, America controls legacy institutions few seem to want — like the International Monetary Fund — while Europe excels at building new and sophisticated ones modeled on itself. The U.S. has a hard time getting its way even when it dominates summit meetings — consider the ill-fated Free Trade Area of the Americas — let alone when it’s not even invited, as with the new East Asian Community, the region’s answer to America’s Apec.

The East Asian Community is but one example of how China is also too busy restoring its place as the world’s “Middle Kingdom” to be distracted by the Middle Eastern disturbances that so preoccupy the United States. In America’s own hemisphere, from Canada to Cuba to Chávez’s Venezuela, China is cutting massive resource and investment deals. Across the globe, it is deploying tens of thousands of its own engineers, aid workers, dam-builders and covert military personnel. In Africa, China is not only securing energy supplies; it is also making major strategic investments in the financial sector. The whole world is abetting China’s spectacular rise as evidenced by the ballooning share of trade in its gross domestic product — and China is exporting weapons at a rate reminiscent of the Soviet Union during the cold war, pinning America down while filling whatever power vacuums it can find. Every country in the world currently considered a rogue state by the U.S. now enjoys a diplomatic, economic or strategic lifeline from China, Iran being the most prominent example.

Without firing a shot, China is doing on its southern and western peripheries what Europe is achieving to its east and south...
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mac2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-27-08 01:21 PM
Response to Original message
1. China became a Super Power with the help of our Congress
Some are in power today. Some are running for President. Good grief.
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thunder rising Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-27-08 01:28 PM
Response to Original message
2. Funny, whod'a thunk that threatening the world with unilateral intervention, would drive them away.
But we are the good guys.
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Tierra_y_Libertad Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-27-08 01:33 PM
Response to Original message
3. Good. Now, maybe, we can become a "2nd" rate power and get civilized.
But, I have my doubts that we'll go gracefully into the inevitable collapse.
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BurtWorm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-27-08 01:45 PM
Response to Original message
4. Two challenges to American power in the Americas: China and Chavez
The Big Three dynamic is not just some distant contest by which America ensures its ability to dictate affairs on the other side of the globe. Globalization has brought the geopolitical marketplace straight to America’s backyard, rapidly eroding the two-centuries-old Monroe Doctrine in the process. In truth, America called the shots in Latin America only when its southern neighbors lacked any vision of their own. Now they have at least two non-American challengers: China and Chávez. It was Simón Bolívar who fought ferociously for South America’s independence from Spanish rule, and today it is the newly renamed Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela that has inspired an entire continent to bootstrap its way into the global balance of power on its own terms. Hugo Chávez, the country’s clownish colonel, may last for decades to come or may die by the gun, but either way, he has called America’s bluff and won, changing the rules of North-South relations in the Western hemisphere. He has emboldened and bankrolled leftist leaders across the continent, helped Argentina and others pay back and boot out the I.M.F. and sponsored a continentwide bartering scheme of oil, cattle, wheat and civil servants, reminding even those who despise him that they can stand up to the great Northern power. Chávez stands not only on the ladder of high oil prices. He relies on tacit support from Europe and hardheaded intrusion from China, the former still the country’s largest investor and the latter feverishly repairing Venezuela’s dilapidated oil rigs while building its own refineries.

But Chávez’s challenge to the United States is, in inspiration, ideological, whereas the second-world shift is really structural. Even with Chávez still in power, it is Brazil that is reappearing as South America’s natural leader. Alongside India and South Africa, Brazil has led the charge in global trade negotiations, sticking it to the U.S. on its steel tariffs and to Europe on its agricultural subsidies. Geographically, Brazil is nearly as close to Europe as to America and is as keen to build cars and airplanes for Europe as it is to export soy to the U.S. Furthermore, Brazil, although a loyal American ally in the cold war, wasted little time before declaring a “strategic alliance” with China. Their economies are remarkably complementary, with Brazil shipping iron ore, timber, zinc, beef, milk and soybeans to China and China investing in Brazil’s hydroelectric dams, steel mills and shoe factories. Both China and Brazil’s ambitions may soon alter the very geography of their relations, with Brazil leading an effort to construct a Trans-Oceanic Highway from the Amazon through Peru to the Pacific Coast, facilitating access for Chinese shipping tankers. Latin America has mostly been a geopolitical afterthought over the centuries, but in the 21st century, all resources will be competed for, and none are too far away.
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libbygurl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-27-08 01:49 PM
Response to Original message
5. Not surprising at all. There's a lot of progress in Europe that never gets written up ...
Edited on Sun Jan-27-08 01:50 PM by libbygurl
...on this side of the pond. Many Americans still believe that the USA is the best in everything. Just one example putting the lie to this is the vastly more efficient highway, road and train systems in, say, Germany, compared to the inefficient and wasteful ones here.
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BurtWorm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-27-08 11:06 PM
Response to Reply #5
11. Not to mention the health care systems that leave no one uncovered.
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gulliver Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-27-08 02:21 PM
Response to Original message
6. Bush and his Republicans lost America?
All of the effort of previous administrations to build up America...gone and dust. Republicanism brought us Bush, and Bush brought us down.
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Xenotime Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-28-08 01:24 AM
Response to Reply #6
13. Truer words have never been spoken.
Clinton rescued the US from Ray-gun and his goons. +8 good years followed by -8 years equals zero. Considering the world has moved ahead as a whole, that now puts us behind.
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Greyhound Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-27-08 02:34 PM
Response to Original message
7. And we still sit here, too fat to move and too stupid to look at where we're
headed.



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IsItJustMe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-27-08 02:39 PM
Response to Original message
8. May be some truth to the post, and our leadership has had much to be desired when it comes to
strategy and/or intelligence. But we damn sure have some scary and hellacious weapon systems lying around.

The only problem with that is, when you have a hammer, everything looks like nails. And that my friend, is the problem of all problems.
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BurtWorm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-27-08 04:58 PM
Response to Original message
9. kick
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AX10 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-27-08 05:25 PM
Response to Original message
10. Many of these places have more in common with Europe than America.
Europe, Africa, the Middle East, and Asia, are made of similar groups of people who are still proud of their distinct differences. Yet, they want a common sense of unity with their neighbors.
America is the melting pot that these places are not. They are seeing that the EU model is better suited for them.
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Iktomiwicasa Donating Member (942 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-27-08 11:48 PM
Response to Reply #10
12. Glad I didn't
get melted into any "pot".
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