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Global credit is being "frozen" and thus the interbank lending system has come to a virtual halt

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whistle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-08-07 03:56 PM
Original message
Global credit is being "frozen" and thus the interbank lending system has come to a virtual halt
... A leading banker said that if the credit stays frozen, "the patient is going to die."

Banks will not lend to each other for fear that the collateral being put up is next to worthless. This phenomenon is global. Parts of the interbank lending market have become frozen as institutions scramble to raise capital and then to hoard it.

Hans Joerg Rudloff a banker and chairman of International Capital Markets Association described the situation as a financial heart attack. "If we stay stuck, the patient is going to die," he said. Rudloff also is chairman of Barclays Capital.

BushCo's bullshit has been totally exposed! Read more ---


<snip>
Markets plunge on fears of US slowdown
By Eoin Callan in Washington

Published: September 7 2007 14:02


Global stock markets tumbled on Friday on fears that the US economy was facing a sharp slowdown as the first monthly fall in employment in four years made an interest rate cut this month all but certain.

The evidence of weakness in the jobs market shocked investors and raised expectations that the US Federal Reserve would be forced to cut interest rates by as much as half a percentage point this month to stave off recession.

The anxieties about the US economy were exacerbated after the close of trading when Countrywide, the leading US home lender, announced plans to cut up to 12,000 jobs and predicted further weakness in the mortgage market.

Stocks in the US and Europe had suffered heavy losses on the back of the US job figures and the dollar fell sharply as investors sought the safety of government bonds.

In New York, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.9 per cent to 13,113.4, while the S&P 500 lost 1.7 per cent to 1,453.55. In London, the FTSE 100 fell 1.9 per cent to 6,191.2, below its starting level for the year, and in Europe the FTSE Eurofirst 300 shed 2.2 per cent to 1,494.88. Shares in banks and financials bore the brunt of the sell-off.

The dollar fell to $1.3770 against the euro, within a whisker of its record low in July. The weaker dollar helped prop up the price of gold, which broke through $700 an ounce for the first time in 16 months.

As bond prices soared, the yield on the two-year US Treasury bond fell as low as 3.88 per cent, a two-year low. The 10-year US Treasury yield dropped below 4.4 per cent, its lowest level since January 2006.

The jobs data showed employers cut 4,000 workers, compared with Wall Street forecasts that about 110,000 jobs would be created. The government also said 81,000 fewer jobs were created in June and July than previously thought.

Economists were particularly worried by the composition of the job losses. With expectations that construction and finance would be hard hit by the turmoil in the mortgage markets, manufacturing saw the largest job losses since mid-2003.

Hank Paulson, US Treasury secretary, said the drop in payrolls was “not the kind of number I’d like to see’’, but added: “Data does not always move in a straight line, so occasionally you will find some surprises. The economy will continue to grow in the second half of the year.’’

Rodrigo Rato, managing director of the International Monetary Fund, said the organisation was cutting its forecast for world economic growth because of the US subprime mortgage crisis and the resulting turmoil in financial markets. Mr Rato said it was a “serious ­crisis”.

There was also strong political pressure on Friday from Capitol Hill on the Fed to act. Barney Frank, chairman of the House committee on financial services, called for “a meaningful interest rate cut”.

Additional reporting by Krishna Guha, David Wighton and Joanna Chung

<link> http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/1597066c-5d41-11dc-8d22-0000779fd2ac.html
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ananda Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-08-07 04:01 PM
Response to Original message
1. Yikes.
That sounds serious.
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indepat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-08-07 04:16 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. Most of us have been seeing the inevitable coming for a long while, it's just hard to
pin-point exactly when the shoe drops. Yours truly liquidated about 85% of equity position in 401(k) at the end of August which was too little too late, but no regrets so far.
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whistle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-08-07 04:34 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. Explain??? 85% of the equity position of 401(k) eliminated?
...that should bring marches up to Capital Hill! :wtf:
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quiet.american Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-08-07 04:48 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. :) Liquidated -- not eliminated!
Edited on Sat Sep-08-07 04:48 PM by quiet.american
Closed out 85% of their stock positions in their portfolio and put it somewhere else (maybe cash reserve or T-bills) is how I read it. :)
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whistle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-08-07 04:59 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. Ah as in improved their liquidity by taking cash which is now exposed to
...hyperinflation
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indepat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-08-07 06:24 PM
Response to Reply #5
13. Cash reserves thinking maybe better to get 4% interest than weather the market in coming months as
junior's sowing is beginning to be reaped.
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roguevalley Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-08-07 07:16 PM
Response to Reply #5
14. what about cd's? i am liquidating my annuity and taking the hit now.
the last time was when BUsh talked us into a recession and I lost 56K.
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blondeatlast Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-08-07 04:40 PM
Response to Original message
4. Happy to send this one to "Greatest."
And it looks like it's all because of the subprime mess--a disaster I blame squarely on the lenders, not those who took advantage even though Mr. B and I were savvy enough to get a traditional fexed-rate on our new home.
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The Doctor. Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-08-07 05:10 PM
Response to Original message
7. I was hoping we had another couple of years.... oh well.
Everyone have their guns ready?
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The Doctor. Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-08-07 05:16 PM
Response to Original message
8. LOL... now recruiting won't be a big problem anymore... will it? n/t
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cliss Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-08-07 05:20 PM
Response to Original message
9. Translation:
The banks don't trust each other. No one knows what portfolios are worth right now. There is no trust, and that's what is bringing the system down.

Coffin Nail.
The ONLY thing that could have saved the subprime meltdown would have been a good job picture. That would have saved a lot of homeowners who are teetering on the edge of financial ruin.

Bad News.
Instead, the news just came out that jobs are really looking dismal in the US right now. No jobs = means no mortgage payment = between 2 and 7 million homes in foreclosure. The ones get stuck holding the bag are banks, investment holders, and of course the stock market.

It's unbelievable about Paribas Bank, the largest bank in France which gave out distress signals recently. They had been trying to get rid of their subprime holdings. Apparently they were not able to sell them, because they were considered worthless. WORTHLESS? I mean, we need to ponder that for a minute. Does that mean their subprime mortgages are worth NOTHING? That means that 100% of them won't be paid. Right??? That's just....unbelievable. And I'm not sure what that means, or what they know about the US housing market.
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Homer12 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-08-07 05:21 PM
Response to Original message
10. The Virtual World Takes over the Real World
Wow!
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robcon Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-08-07 05:25 PM
Response to Original message
11. Where is this "frozen" global credit?
Edited on Sat Sep-08-07 05:26 PM by robcon
It's a sensational headline, without a drop of evidence.

"Frozen credit" is not mentioned in any quote or from any economist or analyst. The comment "Banks will not lend to each other for fear that the collateral being put up is next to worthless" is a made-up analysis by the author of th OP.

This is a serious economic/financial situation, but flights of fantasy to where banks will not lend to each other exposes you as an exaggerator.
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troubleinwinter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-08-07 08:40 PM
Response to Reply #11
15. "the patient is going to die" is not in the article either.
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cosmicdot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-08-07 05:28 PM
Response to Original message
12. knr
Edited on Sat Sep-08-07 05:29 PM by cosmicdot
MARKET MELTDOWN:

THE END OF A 300 YEAR PONZI SCHEME

Ellen Brown, September 3rd, 2007

http://www.webofdebt.com/articles/market-meltdown.php

found in Friday's Stock Market thread

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=102&topic_id=2981218#2981850


"...something d-o-o economics ... "



http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zSA22rVJg6g

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blondeatlast Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-09-07 11:32 AM
Response to Original message
16. Kicking for more comment. nt
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robcon Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-10-07 09:13 AM
Response to Reply #16
17. The thread is a fraud.
The OP states that "the interbank lending system has come to a virtual halt."

No such thing has happened.
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BlooInBloo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-10-07 09:16 AM
Response to Reply #17
19. Of course it is. DUers LOVE being chicken littles.
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BlooInBloo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-10-07 09:15 AM
Response to Original message
18. That's amazing. So banks have decided not to make money. Astonishing.
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