Obama’s General Election Math – Friday, May 9

[phrigndumass]

Obama’s General Election Math – Friday, May 9

Projected Electoral Votes:
Obama – 254
McCain – 273
Ties – 11
Needed to Win – 270
Source: http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Obama/Maps/May09.html">electoral-vote.com

Projected Popular Vote:
Obama – 57,782,953 (45.6%)
McCain – 55,921,638 (44.1%)
Undecided/Other – 13,016,409 (10.3%)

Strength of Projection – 32.8%

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Highly Probable Electoral Votes:
Obama – 135 (25.1%)
McCain – 97 (18.0%)

Probable Electoral Votes:
Obama – 237 (44.1%)
McCain – 221 (41.1%)

Potential Electoral Votes, Advantage Obama:
Obama – 317 (58.9%)
McCain – 221 (41.1%)

Potential Electoral Votes, Advantage McCain:
Obama – 237 (44.1%)
McCain – 301 (55.9%)

Runaway Electoral Votes, Advantage Obama:
Obama – 441 (82.0%)
McCain – 97 (18.0%)

Runaway Electoral Votes, Advantage McCain:
Obama – 135 (25.1%)
McCain – 403 (74.9%)


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Comparison of Poll-Averages:
2008 Obama – 45.1%
2004 Kerry – 46.5% (Final)
2000 Gore – 46.1% (Final)
1996 Clinton – 48.0% (Final)
1992 Clinton – 42.1% (Final)


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Link to spreadsheet: http://www.box.net/shared/3inueoz4sw


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