Poll: My 2006 Predictions: Likely or not?

[Ready4Change]

Poll question: Poll: My 2006 Predictions: Likely or not?

My first poll.

I've one major prediction for 2006, but I'll make some others. I'm doing this as a poll so that, next January I can look back and see if I was close, and if you all had a better angle on things.

1. Bush Impeached by Spring '06.
Republicans, perceiving the growing public backlash against the Iraq quagmire and numerous scandals, Latch onto the Bush/NSA investigation in a united effort to blame EVERYTHING on Bush. By doing so they get their own troubles off the front page, and are able to tout their own sacrifices for the good of the nation during their '06 campaigns.
Bush is soundly impeached. His handlers insisting that he resign before Congress can have him removed from office. These demands infuriate a delusional Bush, who then suffers a nervous breakdown. With the White House unable to react swiftly enough, Congress Rules Bush unfit for office.

2. Cheney Resigns for Health Reasons.
Several weeks to a month prior to Bush's impeachment, Cheney will suffer a physical setback and resign as VP, citing "health reasons." He will retire to his estate on Marylands Eastern Shore, emerging only to jet to remote golf courses or closed door political or CEO dinners, where he will dine on prime rib and potatoes slathered in sour cream and butter.

3. (?) Appointed VP after Cheney, then steps in as President when Bush found unfit.
(?) takes several notable steps. Abandons plans to extend Bushs tax cuts. Allows Patriot Act to Expire. Begins measured pullout from Iraq, with first steps in time to be used as RW debate points during '06 elections, and all but the most final steps completing before the '08 elections.

4. '06 Elections are Republican setback, but not total disaster. With many Republican Senators and Congressmen either under active investigation for a variety of scandals, or having actually been removed from office, many seats are lost to Democrats, who win a majority in the Senate and narrow the divide in Congress.

5. Iraq. Under (?)s orders, US forces begin a phased pullout. Predictably this enheartens the insurgency, resulting in several warlord states being established in Iraq. The government put in place by the US invasion struggles unsuccessfully to maintain control, but cannot succeed. Iraq becomes highly balkanized. Car bombs and armed clashes are daily news, to which Americans pay less and less attention as their own troops leave the theater. But it is clear Iraq will be torn by strife for decades to come.

6. Despite indictments and evidence, "Scooter" Libby will not be found guilty of treason in the Plame affair, He will, however, be found guilty of obstructing justice. Due to legal maneuvers, he will serve several years under house arrest ala Martha Stewart, and will use that time to write a book, which will enjoy a brief moment at the top of the charts due to affluent RW shop owners buying large orders, which are never actually sold to anyone else. One month later it can be had at 75% off in the bargain bins.

7. Karl Rove resigns his post shortly after Bush's disintegration, citing a desire to spend more time with his family. He is soon spotted having dinner with a strangely rejuvenated Dick Cheney in Las Vegas.

8. GM presents a prototype, gasoline consuming fuel celled hydrogen powered hybrid prototype. Despite much acclaim and hype, the automotive world collectively exclaims "WTF good is this?" The prototype is never put into production.

9. European and Asian rim auto manufacturers introduce production models of multi-fuel capable diesel cars and trucks. Despite coming to market nearly under the radar, these start selling in notable numbers in non-US markets. These nations also begin introducing bio diesel production. While just a footnote, by the end of 2006, this is seen as the path away from dependence on Middle East and Russian oil, whose prices have continued to rise precipitously. Further, despite the naysayings of many US Oil Industry funded studies, the production of bio diesel will begin to be seen as quite viable.

10. Computers will continue to become faster. Microsoft will continue to dominate the PC OS market, despite continued quality control issues. Tech magazines will continue to say that an easy to use home PC/Media station is just around the corner, yet it will still fail to emerge. Cell phones, PDAs and digital cameras will continue to merge, but the market will continue to contain a confusing mix of all 3. GPS systems will be standard equipment on more and more cars.

Phew. What to you think?

[Vincardog]

1. If ? is Frist or DeLay a lot wrong

[Ready4Change]

3. I've no idea who (?) is.

I just don't know enough names and reputations to say. I think it will be someone who can actually do a fine job, but has never been allowed to do so because he won't play "scratch my back, I'll scratch yours." He'll be a boy scout, who just want's whats best for the country. The kind of person you want as president, rather than the type Republicans usually prop up there.

He wil be put in that position for two reasons:

1. By doing a good job, he will remove some heat from other republicans who will be having a hard enough time getting re-elected in '06.

2. By being stuck in an unwinnable position, due to the mess the current administration has created, his boy-scout-ish nature will become tarnished, and he will no longer be a threat the RW political games players. They will mix his good legacy with Bush's horrendous legacy and hope for a bland enough wash that people will hungrily listen to how all their problems are really Clintons fault. (Bills, Hillarys, or insert the name of whichever Dem you think will win in '08.)

Oh! But to answer your question, I don't think it would be Frist or Delay. They've got scandals to deal with, and this guy will be as squeeky clean as they can find.

[Vincardog]

9. Do you really expect the Right wing nuts to do anything reasonable?

Remember these clowns want to RULE THE WORLD. They are delusional to the extreme.

Don't get me wrong I wish you to be correct. I just can not see the wing nuts bowing to any reality other than their delusions.

[IndyOp]

2. I like your optimism -

but voted "More wrong than right" -- I hope I am wrong and you are psychic!

[Ready4Change]

4. Grin. Thanks...

I'm as looking forward to why people think I'm wrong as people saying I could be right. :)

[IndyOp]

6. Okay - my estimates of the likelihood you are correct...

1. Bush Impeached by Spring '06. Probability Correct: 10% (% rises as time goes by...)

2. Cheney Resigns for Health Reasons. Probability Correct After '06 Elections: 60%

3. ? steps in as President when Bush found unfit. Probability Correct: 100% if * goes down.

4. '06 Elections are Republican setback, but not total disaster
If elections are free and fair - Probability Correct: 70%
If elections are run as the 2000,02,04 elections - Probability Correct: 0%

5. Under (?)s orders, US forces begin a phased pullout. Probability Correct: 50%
Iraq will be torn by strife for decades to come. Probability Correct: 100%

6. Despite indictments and evidence, "Scooter" Libby will be found guilty of obstructing justice.
Probability correct: 80%

7. Karl Rove resigns his post shortly after Bush's disintegration. Probability correct: 70%
He is soon spotted having dinner with a strangely rejuvenated Dick Cheney in Las Vegas. :wtf:

8. GM presents a prototype, gasoline consuming fuel celled hydrogen powered hybrid prototype, the automotive world collectively exclaims "WTF good is this?" The prototype is never put into production. Probability correct: 100%

9. European and Asian rim auto manufacturers introduce production models of multi-fuel capable diesel cars and trucks, the production of bio diesel will begin to be seen as quite viable. :shrug:

10. Technical crap. Yes, of course, the march of 'progress' will continue.

[Ready4Change]

7. Heheh. We'll see.

To the New Year. :toast:

[fasttense]

5. I'm concerned that brush has gone over the edge

with this preemptive strike crap. He's now taking aim at Iran. His lies about Iraq make his concerns about Iran unbelievable. I'm seriously worried this Crazy King George might press that mysterious little red button.

[Ready4Change]

8. I think his handlers would avoid that.

When it all falls apart for him I wouldn't be surprised if he would try it, but I think his handlers would step in and keep their puppet from blowing up the whole ball of wax.

After all, he'd be trying to nuke the places where they keep all their stuff. Can't have that. ;)