Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

POST NUMBER 10,000: THE 2004 ELECTION COLLECTION

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Topic Forums » Election Reform Donate to DU
 
TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-25-04 07:44 AM
Original message
POST NUMBER 10,000: THE 2004 ELECTION COLLECTION
Edited on Thu Nov-25-04 08:38 AM by TruthIsAll
TRUTHISALL POST NUMBER 10,000: THE 2004 ELECTION COLLECTION

It's mostly in chronological order.

I hope this doesn't spoil your Thanksgiving dinner.
But the election was a turkey.

Prologue: My Nov 1 Election Model Projection
http://www.geocities.com/electionmodel /

1
MEDIA WHORES, ANSWER THESE QUESTIONS - IF YOU DARE
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

2
Part I: To believe that Bush won the election, you must also believe...
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

3
Part II: To believe that Bush won the election, you must also believe...
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

4
PRELIMINARY ELECTION FRAUD PROBABILITY ANALYSIS
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

5
Based on the Battleground Exit Polls, the probability was 99.99% that Kerry would get over 50% of the vote. He ended up with 48.87%.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

6
REVERSE the media SPIN: Kerry's 2-Party% vs. Bush - Exit Polls vs. Actual Vote
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

7
Exit Polls vs. Actual Vote: Who do you believe-CNN or your lying eyes?
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

8
1 out of 667! THE ODDS THAT KERRY WOULD LOSE OHIO AND FLORIDA
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

9
MY PROBABILITY ANALYSIS VINDICATED BY AN MIT MATH PROFESSOR
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

10
Remember this thread? Zogby called it for Kerry on Election Day!
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

11
The Florida Optical Scam Machines stole it for Bush
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

12
Lousy exit polls? They look pretty good to me...
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

13
WHAT'S THE MATTER WITH OHIO AND FLORIDA?
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

14
187 MILLION TO ONE: My calculation of the odds that Bush voting percent would deviate from the Exit Polls BEYOND THE MOE IN HIS FAVOR in 7 out of 18 Battleground states.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

15
250 MILLION TO ONE: PROFESSOR FREEMANS CALCULATION OF THE ODDS THAT DEVIATIONS IN THE VOTES FROM THE EXIT POLLS WERE NOT DUE TO CHANCE.
http://www.dakotatechnics.com/downloads/Steve_Freeman.z ...
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph ...

16
Scoop: 47 State Exit Poll Analysis Confirms Swing Anomaly
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

17
RANDI RHODES, flip the media SPIN: Kerry vs. Bush- Exit Polls vs. Actuals
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

18
Let's clear up misinformation about Polling Margin of Error
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

19
If you believe the pre-hacked 4PM EXIT POLLS were right, the ELECTION MODEL calculates that KERRY WON with 311 EV and 50.6% of the VOTE
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

20
The Exit Polls MATCHED pre-election polls to within 1/7th of ONE percent
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

21
TAKE THE TIA ELECTION FRAUD QUIZ
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

22
Must Read from the Zogby site: "I Smell a Rat"
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

23
Morin or Moron? The Orwellian WP strikes again.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

24
Two years ago, I calculated the odds of GOP fraud in the 2002 Senate races
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

25
GRAPH OF 49 STATES: EXIT VS. ACTUAL DEVIATIONS (38 TO BUSH)
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

26
Election Day 9PM. Exit Polls predict a Kerry win. Strategery time.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

27
All States: Average deviation between pre-election and exit polls: 0.18%
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

28
Battleground: Average deviation between pre-election and exit polls: 0.48%
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

29
KERRY'S 2-PARTY% RED SHIFT TO BUSH: THE STATE PROBABILITIES
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

30
RED SHIFT STATE PROBABILITIES: EXIT POLLS TO ACTUALS
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

31
ASSUME WE FLIP A COIN 50 TIMES...
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

32
ONE graph: Pre-election State Polls vs. Exit Polls vs. Actuals
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...



Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
sce56 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-25-04 08:02 AM
Response to Original message
1. CONGRATULATIONS ON YOUR 1O^3 POST, Keep up the good work
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-30-04 08:28 PM
Response to Reply #1
17. HERE IS AN UPDATE OF RECENT THREADS

ONE IN 4.5 BILLION? IT'S ACTUALLY MUCH, MUCH WORSE THAN THAT.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...


15 QUESTIONS FOR THOSE WHO WOULD DISPARAGE EXIT POLLING
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...


WTF? A Repuke just explained to me why the Exit Polls were biased for Kerry
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
papau Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-25-04 08:26 AM
Response to Original message
2. Great work... great job.... great postings - CONGRATS! :-)
:toast:

:party:

:toast:

:-)
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
wellstone dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-25-04 08:51 AM
Response to Original message
3. Thank you for post 10,000
and the many that came before.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
WyLoochka Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-25-04 09:00 AM
Response to Original message
4. Love 'ya, TIA
Your 10,000 contributions have done so much to help clarify what the hell has been going down, and the means that have been used to steal our country right out from under us.

Your unflagging number crunching and info-link collecting is invaluable.

Thank you, thank you, thank you.

Truth is, indeed, ALL.

Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Straight Shooter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-25-04 10:52 AM
Response to Original message
5. Congratulations! But Number 8 is wrong.
It should read:
1 out of 666! THE ODDS THAT KERRY WOULD LOSE OHIO AND FLORIDA

If you know what I mean :evilgrin:
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
milkyway Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-25-04 12:40 PM
Response to Original message
6. You have been a busy man and have earned a day off. Congratulations!
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
bleever Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-25-04 02:06 PM
Response to Original message
7. Won't ruin my dinner! Last year's picture from Baghdad of the fake turkey
carrying the pretend platter of food immunized me against most revolting things.

Happy T-Day and congrats to you, TIA.

:hi:
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
YellowDoginthehouse Donating Member (406 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-25-04 02:16 PM
Response to Original message
8. How do you know when it hits 10,000?n/t
n/t
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
glitch Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-25-04 02:23 PM
Response to Original message
9. Awesome! Thanks for it all, nt
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
anamandujano Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-25-04 02:54 PM
Response to Original message
10. Sending you a virtual tofu turkey and 1/2 doz soy nutmeg muffins.
Just kidding, sending the real (virtual) stuff, unless, of course, you're a vegetarian.

(How many commas can you put in one sentence before an English teacher starts calling you out? I think I'm getting close.)
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
bleever Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-25-04 09:35 PM
Response to Original message
11. Giving thanks by kicking.
:kick:
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
mom cat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-27-04 12:48 PM
Response to Original message
12. Great work, as usual!
What a perfect post for your 10,000 mark!

:dem: :toast: :smoke: :headbang: :bounce: :bounce: :yourock: :bounce: :bounce: :headbang: :smoke: :toast: :kick:

Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
bleever Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-27-04 06:34 PM
Response to Original message
13. Just needs a little kick.
:kick:
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Hobbes199 Donating Member (430 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-27-04 06:36 PM
Response to Original message
14. Congrats!
And thanks for all the hard work.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
illuminaughty Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-28-04 02:55 AM
Response to Original message
15. Big kick for 10,000
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
mom cat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-30-04 08:15 PM
Response to Reply #15
16. Kick the MAIN POST. Replies to the internal link do not advance
the original post. Thanks.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
DU AdBot (1000+ posts) Click to send private message to this author Click to view 
this author's profile Click to add 
this author to your buddy list Click to add 
this author to your Ignore list Thu Oct 19th 2017, 12:47 AM
Response to Original message
Advertisements [?]
 Top

Home » Discuss » Topic Forums » Election Reform Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC