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INDEPENDENT mathematicians,statisticians et al: Critique the probabilities

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-13-04 01:29 PM
Original message
INDEPENDENT mathematicians,statisticians et al: Critique the probabilities
Edited on Sat Nov-13-04 02:08 PM by TruthIsAll
To believe that Bush won the election, you must also believe...
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

18 Battleground State Exit Polls:
The Probability that Kerry would get over 50% was 99.998%.
He got 48.87% of the votes.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

REVERSE THE MEDIIA SPIN:
Kerry's 2-Party% vs.Bush- Exit Polls vs. Actuals
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...


Exit Polls vs. Actuals:
Who do you believe-CNN or your lying eyes?
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...


PROBABILITY KERRY WOULD LOSE BOTH OHIO AND FLORIDA:
(BASED ON THE EXIT POLLS): 1 OUT OF 667 (.15%)
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...


MASSIVE FRAUD!
ANALYSIS VINDICATED BY A FORMER MIT MATH PROFESSOR
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

187 MILLION TO ONE:
The odds that 7 out of 18 Battleground states would deviate from Exit Polls beyond the Margin of Error - all in favor of Bush.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...


250 MILLION TO ONE:
PROFESSOR FREEMAN AT THE UNIV. OF PENN. CALCULATED THE ODDS THAT ACTUAL VOTE DEVIATIONS FROM THE EXIT POLLS ARE NOT DUE TO CHANCE.
http://www.dakotatechnics.com/downloads/Steve_Freeman.z ...
DU thread to the above link:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph ...

Scoop: 47 State Exit Poll Analysis Confirms Swing Anomaly
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

Statistical proof the election was rigged. IMPORTANT! Please read!
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...






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Robert Oak Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-13-04 01:35 PM
Response to Original message
1. w/ a caveat
You must watch out for biased "academic" reports from right wing think tanks.

We need independent statisticians and computer experts...

but bear in mind "free trade" and outsourcing have been proselytized
by these think tanks when their conclusions were written before
they started the study.

Many economists have countered these papers as being faulty, incorrect,
but amazingly enough those opinions somehow get buried while
multinational corporations turn to the research papers they themselves
bought and paid for to "prove" what they wanted to hear.

So, look at the background of any think tank or Academic first...

and we also need the raw exit polls. I find it very interesting
how silent they are and also how they refuse to give that information
over to analysts.
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rockedthevoteinMA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-13-04 06:43 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. why don't you try emailing
Paul Krugman with it? he seems like one who might get involved (far stretch I know) @NYT
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shelley806 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-13-04 06:58 PM
Response to Original message
3. TruthisAll, I'll tell you what I want to see: All of those states,
counties, and precincts that did NOT use Diebold, ES and S, Sequoia, and the other Diebolical cheating machines, and compare these across the board to those that did...then look at the differences in exit poll data, and statistics on registered republicans and registered Democrats in those with diabolical vs those without... Has this been done? I'd do it if I knew how and where to access the information.
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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-13-04 08:13 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. I have a breadown by state, but not by precinct.
I hope someone else will do it, cause I won't.
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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-13-04 08:14 PM
Response to Original message
5. This is a fix to the 250 MILLION to ONE link.
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