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Bush approval/disapproval by state: clues about the fraud?

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-29-05 12:48 PM
Original message
Bush approval/disapproval by state: clues about the fraud?
Edited on Wed Jun-29-05 12:57 PM by TruthIsAll
Like where and how much?

http://surveyusa.com/Bush50StateApproval0605.htm

Anyone care to do a multiple regression analysis of Bush disapproval (D) as a function of state exit poll (E) and recorded vote (V)?

D = aE + bV +c

Determine constants a, b, c.
Calculate R-Sq.

Correlation analysis, anyone?
Knock yourself out.
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dbackjon Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-29-05 12:56 PM
Response to Original message
1. Very interesting
Ohio and Nevada are outliers - only 'Bush' states that have approval ratings lower than the highest 'Kerry' state.
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kster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-29-05 01:07 PM
Response to Original message
2. Check this out
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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-29-05 08:19 PM
Response to Original message
3. BUSH IS REGRESSING MOST RAPIDLY IN THE RED STATES
Edited on Wed Jun-29-05 08:21 PM by TruthIsAll
BA=Bush Approval
BV= Bush vote
BP= Bush Poll

BAF = Bush approval best fitted by Multiple Linear regression
BAF =.042194-.0291BP+.790226BV


In Oklahoma, his approval rating trails his vote by 17%
Ohio by 11%
Florida by 6.5%
Calif. by 7.44%

St BA-BV BAF-BV BAF-BP
OK -17.00% -11.52% -10.52%
NV -13.52% -8.06% -7.20%
ID -13.39% -12.27% -9.38%
IN -12.61% -10.21% -8.61%
SD -12.61% -10.31% -11.94%
WY -12.41% -12.56% -11.30%
ND -11.64% -11.05% -13.41%
KS -11.63% -10.81% -13.18%
TX -11.62% -10.54% -11.92%
NC -11.00% -9.04% -5.04%

OH -11.00% -7.87% -4.77%

AK -10.92% -10.92% -6.50%
GA -10.59% -9.73% -8.14%
SC -10.59% -9.64% -5.06%
AR -10.55% -8.78% -7.63%
MI -10.48% -7.33% -6.35%
KY -10.00% -10.08% -9.08%
MS -10.00% -10.02% -6.76%
WV -9.57% -9.24% -7.42%
AZ -9.56% -8.98% -6.42%
WI -9.49% -7.55% -5.55%
UT -9.45% -13.00% -10.05%
AL -9.00% -10.71% -6.71%
TN -9.00% -9.44% -10.94%
LA -8.58% -9.47% -7.40%
DE -8.46% -6.74% -1.77%
NJ -8.46% -6.84% -5.37%
IL -8.00% -6.47% -4.47%
MO -8.00% -8.64% -7.14%
CT -7.90% -6.41% -3.01%

NY -7.82% -5.42% -1.60%

VT -7.80% -5.15% -0.35%
NE -7.68% -11.82% -7.38%
CO -7.53% -8.28% -6.65%

CA -7.44% -6.44% -8.00%

PA -7.00% -7.39% -4.04%
ME -6.92% -6.73% -6.07%

FL -6.53% -8.24% -5.21%

IA -6.51% -7.81% -6.66%
NH -6.49% -7.46% -2.57%
RI -6.39% -5.09% -1.70%
VA -5.55% -8.74% -6.23%
NM -5.51% -7.79% -5.99%
MN -5.48% -7.28% -4.29%
WA -5.46% -6.84% -5.43%
OR -5.00% -7.27% -8.07%
MT -4.20% -10.16% -10.20%
HI -2.45% -6.67% -7.92%
MD -2.43% -6.14% -5.71%
MA 1.63% -4.61% -1.24%
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bleever Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-29-05 09:36 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. So, the stole a lot from the red states, and a little less (but still
hundreds and hundreds of thousands) from the blue states.

Who's gonna look at the red states?

Who's gonna look at the blue states?

Who's gonna notice?

:shrug:

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Patsy Stone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-29-05 09:49 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. I'm more disturbed that *'s approval rating
went up 5% in a month in Fla-la-la... Can this be? I wanna move. :hi:
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bleever Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jun-30-05 03:07 PM
Response to Reply #6
8. I seriously question the approval ratings. I can't believe he's
above 40%.

Don't blame Florida -- we know FL is really a blue state.

:hi:
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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-01-05 06:29 AM
Response to Reply #5
9. The theft was in both Red AND Blue states (Bush & non-partisan precincts)
Edited on Fri Jul-01-05 06:33 AM by TruthIsAll
The Beast was in the East

These BLUE states red-shifted:
NY, MA, PA, VT, CT, MD, MN, MI, WA, NM, FL

Kerry precincts lost votes through suppression (long lines, registration fraud) and spoiled ballots which were never counted.

Bush/non-partisan precincts used BBV to switch Kerry votes to Bush.
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LightningFlash Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-03-05 04:47 AM
Response to Reply #9
16. Independant investigative citizens are the best analysts!
Once again I reccomend! :thumbsup:
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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-03-05 09:24 AM
Response to Reply #3
17. Sort by deviation between LSQFT Approval and Exit Poll
Edited on Sun Jul-03-05 09:30 AM by TruthIsAll
Another measure of where the theft occurred, percentage wise.
This list matches very closely to the actual vote deviations
from the exit polls.

VT leads the pack.
MA 2
NY 3
PA 7
OH 11
FL 14
NC 15
etc

St	BA-BV	BAF-BV	BAF-BP

VT	-7.8%	-5.2%	-0.4%
MA	1.6%	-4.6%	-1.2%
NY	-7.8%	-5.4%	-1.6%
RI	-6.4%	-5.1%	-1.7%
DE	-8.5%	-6.7%	-1.8%

NH	-6.5%	-7.5%	-2.6%
CT	-7.9%	-6.4%	-3.0%
PA	-7.0%	-7.4%	-4.0%
MN	-5.5%	-7.3%	-4.3%
IL	-8.0%	-6.5%	-4.5%

OH	-11.0%	-7.9%	-4.8%
NC	-11.0%	-9.0%	-5.0%
SC	-10.6%	-9.6%	-5.1%
FL	-6.5%	-8.2%	-5.2%
NJ	-8.5%	-6.8%	-5.4%

WA	-5.5%	-6.8%	-5.4%
WI	-9.5%	-7.6%	-5.6%
MD	-2.4%	-6.1%	-5.7%
NM	-5.5%	-7.8%	-6.0%
ME	-6.9%	-6.7%	-6.1%

VA	-5.6%	-8.7%	-6.2%
MI	-10.5%	-7.3%	-6.4%
AZ	-9.6%	-9.0%	-6.4%
AK	-10.9%	-10.9%	-6.5%
CO	-7.5%	-8.3%	-6.7%

IA	-6.5%	-7.8%	-6.7%
AL	-9.0%	-10.7%	-6.7%
MS	-10.0%	-10.0%	-6.8%
MO	-8.0%	-8.6%	-7.1%
NV	-13.5%	-8.1%	-7.2%

NE	-7.7%	-11.8%	-7.4%
LA	-8.6%	-9.5%	-7.4%
WV	-9.6%	-9.2%	-7.4%
AR	-10.6%	-8.8%	-7.6%
HI	-2.5%	-6.7%	-7.9%

CA	-7.4%	-6.4%	-8.0%
OR	-5.0%	-7.3%	-8.1%
GA	-10.6%	-9.7%	-8.1%
IN	-12.6%	-10.2%	-8.6%
KY	-10.0%	-10.1%	-9.1%

ID	-13.4%	-12.3%	-9.4%
UT	-9.5%	-13.0%	-10.1%
MT	-4.2%	-10.2%	-10.2%
OK	-17.0%	-11.5%	-10.5%
TN	-9.0%	-9.4%	-10.9%

WY	-12.4%	-12.6%	-11.3%
TX	-11.6%	-10.5%	-11.9%
SD	-12.6%	-10.3%	-11.9%
KS	-11.6%	-10.8%	-13.2%
ND	-11.6%	-11.1%	-13.4%

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-29-05 08:52 PM
Response to Original message
4. THE GRAPH
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mod mom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-29-05 10:06 PM
Response to Original message
7. Excellent TIA! I appreciate your posts but the math is sometimes too much
for me, but this link says it so well! Will pass it around. Fight on!
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myschkin Donating Member (488 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-01-05 09:10 AM
Response to Original message
10. Wow
Edited on Fri Jul-01-05 09:10 AM by myschkin
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myschkin Donating Member (488 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-01-05 09:12 AM
Response to Reply #10
11. Question

Do we also have a statistic of November 04?

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-01-05 10:35 AM
Response to Reply #11
12. Bush approval was 48.5% on Nov.1 (average of 11 polls)
.
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GetTheRightVote Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-01-05 05:44 PM
Response to Original message
13. I think that site says it all, * did not win the election of 2004
He never stood a chance, just more lies on top of old lies always.

:kick:
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LightningFlash Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-01-05 05:46 PM
Response to Reply #13
14. Correct. But he DID win the sElection of 2004. PNAC needed him in no....
....Matter what, and signed a deal with the DLC in both 2000 and 2004 to make it go quietly. :evilgrin:
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kster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-03-05 04:20 AM
Response to Original message
15. KICK.NT
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tommcintyre Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-25-05 08:05 PM
Response to Original message
18. kick - In tribute to his tremendous contributions - WHY??? :( n/t
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