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TruthIsAll
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Thu Mar-10-05 08:35 AM Original message |
A Mathematical proof: Exit polls are accurate |
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acmejack
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Thu Mar-10-05 08:44 AM Response to Original message |
1. You overlook one salient point... |
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Marnieworld
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Thu Mar-10-05 08:44 AM Response to Original message |
2. Thank you Truth is All |
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Mnemosyne
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Thu Mar-10-05 09:13 AM Response to Reply #2 |
3. I'll second that respectfully. nt |
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eomer
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Thu Mar-10-05 09:24 AM Response to Original message |
4. Great post, as usual... |
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TruthIsAll
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Thu Mar-10-05 12:19 PM Response to Reply #4 |
7. I saw and fixed it just before reading your post. Thanks. |
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slackmaster
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Thu Mar-10-05 09:40 AM Response to Original message |
5. One small issue with this analysis |
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TruthIsAll
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Thu Mar-10-05 12:47 PM Response to Reply #5 |
8. You are correct. There is always a small sampling error factor. |
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slackmaster
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Thu Mar-10-05 01:00 PM Response to Reply #8 |
9. I would use caution in assuming the true polling error is non-biased |
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TruthIsAll
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Thu Mar-10-05 12:12 PM Response to Original message |
6. Correction: Deviation = I- R = S+ F |
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andym
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Thu Mar-10-05 05:08 PM Response to Original message |
10. Not a proof, but raises a legitimate point |
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kster
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Thu Mar-10-05 06:15 PM Response to Original message |
11. Kick |
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kiwi_expat
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Thu Mar-10-05 08:38 PM Response to Original message |
12. Your equation is a good idea. We could tweak it further. |
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davidgmills
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Thu Mar-10-05 08:52 PM Response to Reply #12 |
13. Pretty soon we will be using all the letters in the alphabet |
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TruthIsAll
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Thu Mar-10-05 08:53 PM Response to Reply #12 |
14. Good tweak to enhance the linear model. |
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kster
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Thu Mar-10-05 09:40 PM Response to Original message |
15. PEANUTS !! GET YOUR PEANUTS HERE !! |
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Nederland
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Thu Mar-10-05 10:16 PM Response to Original message |
16. This is so obviously wrong its funny |
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TruthIsAll
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Thu Mar-10-05 10:47 PM Response to Reply #16 |
17. Nederland, not quite. You need some help in arithmetic. |
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Nederland
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Fri Mar-11-05 12:21 AM Response to Reply #17 |
22. Question |
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TruthIsAll
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Fri Mar-11-05 08:12 AM Response to Reply #22 |
25. Use preliminary exit poll and recorded vote percentages... |
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Nederland
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Fri Mar-11-05 08:55 AM Response to Reply #25 |
26. Now I've got you |
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TruthIsAll
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Fri Mar-11-05 09:20 AM Response to Reply #26 |
28. THE FACTS SAY OTHERWISE. |
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Nederland
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Fri Mar-11-05 10:33 AM Response to Reply #28 |
30. You are in denial |
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TruthIsAll
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Fri Mar-11-05 10:38 AM Response to Reply #30 |
31. A LOST CAUSE ONLY TO YOU. |
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Nederland
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Fri Mar-11-05 10:42 AM Response to Reply #31 |
32. LOL |
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TruthIsAll
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Fri Mar-11-05 11:50 AM Response to Reply #30 |
33. TRY THIS ONE FOR SIZE... |
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Nederland
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Fri Mar-11-05 04:21 PM Response to Reply #33 |
34. Same problem |
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kiwi_expat
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Thu Mar-10-05 11:04 PM Response to Reply #16 |
18. From your expanded message, found when hitting "reply"... |
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Nederland
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Thu Mar-10-05 11:17 PM Response to Reply #18 |
19. Biased statement |
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kiwi_expat
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Thu Mar-10-05 11:29 PM Response to Reply #19 |
20. I 'm not trying to PROVE that fraud occurred. However, here is a neutral- |
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Nederland
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Fri Mar-11-05 12:08 AM Response to Reply #20 |
21. Question |
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kiwi_expat
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Fri Mar-11-05 05:57 AM Response to Reply #21 |
23. Yes, ultimately, we do hope to prove that fraud occurred. However... |
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eomer
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Fri Mar-11-05 07:16 AM Response to Reply #23 |
24. F can be a negative number. |
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kiwi_expat
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Fri Mar-11-05 08:58 AM Response to Reply #24 |
27. You are right. Using nets is important.... |
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eomer
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Fri Mar-11-05 09:46 AM Response to Reply #27 |
29. Agreed |
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kiwi_expat
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Fri Mar-11-05 09:09 PM Response to Reply #24 |
35. Does Mitofsky pretend that the spoiled- ballot component doesn't exist? |
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FreepFryer
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Fri Mar-11-05 09:35 PM Response to Original message |
36. Thanks for another clear and understandable post. |
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