CNN Exit poll(s)

[chrisclub]

Time Bush Kerry Total
12:21AM 941 1022 1963

1:41AM 1029 991 2020

Change: +88 -31 +57

After 57 more people were polled, Bush's total was increased by 88 and Kerry's total was decreased by 31.

Is there any explanation besides CNN was told to change their exit poll display to match the output from fraudulent voting machines?





http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2004_U.S._presidential_election_controversy,_exit_p olls

(Note: these individual totals were derived by using the 53%F, 47%M displayed on the same CNN screenshots. Also, my numbers include a correction of one inconsequential error in one calculation in the included link.)

[PROGRESSIVE1]

1. CNN is corporate propaganda!

[TruthIsAll]

5. At least the Washington Post and Edison/Mitofsky tell the truth

13,047 randomly-selected voters.
Sampling error is plus or minus ONE percent.

Calculation of the national percentages based on the gender split:
Kerry = .54*.54+.47*.46 = 50.78%
Bush = .45*.54+ .52*.46 = 48.22%

Kerry led the national exit poll by 2.56%.
But Bush won the vote by 2.80%.

What is the probability that the Bush tally would exceed his exit poll sample mean by 3.01% from from 48.22% to 51.23%?

Probability = NORMDIST(0.4822,0.5123,0.0051,TRUE)
Probability = 0.00000000183

The odds are 1 out of 1/.00000000183 or

**************** 1 out of 547,044,797 ****************

[PROGRESSIVE1]

7. The Post actually told the truth on something like this?

I'm suprised!

[berni_mccoy]

2. No, and this is something that keeps getting ignored...

This was the greatest scam of all time.

[buddysmellgood]

3. SHhhhh. It's our sick little secret.

[Verve]

4. Good for you! We need to keep harping about this until something is done.

Our work is just beginning!

[Goldeneye]

6. Has anyone done calculations

to find the probability that the white men sampled could've been off by 4%. And white women were of by 2%. And Non White men were of by 2%? This seems pretty central. They can't say there was anything wrong with the waiting, not that that's been a very solid argument for them anyway.