Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login


Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Topic Forums » Election Reform Donate to DU
TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Dec-26-04 12:44 PM
Original message
Edited on Sun Dec-26-04 12:48 PM by TruthIsAll

Footprints of Electoral Fraud:
The November 2 Exit Poll Scam
by Michael Keefer

Republican electoral fraud in the 2004 presidential election was widely anticipated by informed observers--whose warnings about the opportunities for fraud offered by "black box" voting machines supplied and serviced by corporations closely aligned with Republican interests (and used to tally nearly a third of the votes cast on November 2) have been amply borne out by the results.1

One of the clear indicators of massive electoral fraud was the wide divergence, both nationally and in swing states, between exit poll results and the reported vote tallies. The major villains, it would seem, were the suppliers of touch-screen voting machines. There appears to be evidence, however, that the corporations responsible for assembling vote-counting and exit poll information may also have been complicit in the fraud.

Until recently, the major American corporate infomedia networks (ABC, CBS, NBC, CNN, Fox, and AP) relied on a consortium known as the Voter News Service for vote-counting and exit poll information. But following the scandals and consequent embarrassments of the 2000 and 2002 elections, this consortium was disbanded. It was replaced in 2004 by a partnership of Edison Media Research and Mitofsky International known as the National Election Pool.

The National Election Pools own dataas transmitted by CNN on the evening of November 2 and the early morning of November 3suggest very strongly that the results of the exit polls were themselves fiddled late on November 2 in order to make their numbers conform with the tabulated vote tallies.

Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
katinmn Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Dec-26-04 12:50 PM
Response to Original message
1. MSM was in on it.
"What we are witnessing, the evidence would suggest, is a late-night contribution by the National Elections Pool to the rewriting of history."

Isn't there supposed to be a report coming out from the media regarding their analyses of the exit poll data? Wonder what the holdup is. It's been 7 weeks. Strange. Our normally jump-the-gun media is up to something.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
DoYouEverWonder Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Dec-26-04 12:58 PM
Response to Original message
2. The swing at the end of the day was a a mathematical impossibility
OMG, these numbers make the manipulation so apparent.

But how do we know the fix was in? Because the exit poll data also included the total number of respondents. At 9:00 p.m. EST, this number was well over 13,000; by 1:36 a.m. EST on November 3 it had risen by less than 3 percent, to a final total of 13, 531 respondents?but with a corresponding swing of 5 percent from Kerry to Bush in voters? reports of their choices. Given the increase in respondents, a swing of this size is a mathematical impossibility.


At 7:32 p.m., there were 1,963 respondents; at 1:41 a.m. on November 3, there was a final total of 2,020 respondents. These fifty-seven additional respondents must all have voted very powerfully for Bush?for while representing only a 2.8 percent increase in the number of respondents, they managed to produce a swing from Kerry to Bush of fully 6.5 percent.

In Florida, the exit polls appear to have been tampered with in a similar manner. At 8:40 p.m. EST, CNN was reporting exit polls that showed Kerry and Bush in a near dead heat. Women voters (54 percent of the total) preferred Kerry over Bush by 52 percent to 48 percent, while men (46 percent of the total) preferred Bush over Kerry by 52 percent to 47 percent, with 1 percent of their votes going to Nader. But the final update of the exit poll, made at 1:01 a.m. EST on November 3, showed a different pattern: women voters now narrowly preferred Bush over Kerry, by 50 percent to 49 percent, while the men preferred Bush by 53 percent to 46 percent, with 1 percent of the vote still going to Nader. These figures gave Bush a 4 percent lead over Kerry.

The number of exit poll respondents in Florida had risen only from 2,846 to 2,862. But once again, a powerful numerical magic was at work. A mere sixteen respondents?0.55 percent of the total number?produced a four percent swing to Bush.

Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
MadLinguist Donating Member (167 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Dec-26-04 01:33 PM
Response to Original message
3. Kick to High Heaven
Goddammmit! There really isn't any hope of an independent count. My bet is that the only raw data we ever get is the data which people downloaded before that mysterious 2 hour NEP "computer crash". My guess is that by the next election cycle, we will have heard a lot, lot more than we already have about the need to protect the voters in later time zones from the influence of the already-voted. All results will be "sealed for your protection" until the final certification by the TV god. Footprints like those the 'Ohio 57' will be the clumsy missteps of the past. There is just no oxygen left in this padded cell we call a nation.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
teryang Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Dec-26-04 01:40 PM
Response to Original message
4. A similar incomprehensible vote swing took place in Ohio
...late in the evening. Earlier in the evening polling experts used a new computer projection to anticipate Kerry closing the gap in Ohio, making it so close that a Kerry win could not be ruled out. As the closing trend became apparent as Democratic precincts in urban areas began to report, it inexplicably reversed and the Bush gap began to widen substantially in complete opposition to what the experts and their computers projected. Inasmuch as the experts were dumbfounded there wasn't any follow up on why their earlier projections were so widely off the mark.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
idiosyncratic Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Dec-26-04 02:10 PM
Response to Original message
5. Thank you for posting this. n/t
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
enough Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Dec-26-04 02:37 PM
Response to Original message
6. kick
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
DU AdBot (1000+ posts) Click to send private message to this author Click to view 
this author's profile Click to add 
this author to your buddy list Click to add 
this author to your Ignore list Sat May 25th 2019, 06:13 PM
Response to Original message
Advertisements [?]

Home » Discuss » Topic Forums » Election Reform Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators

Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC