Perry's bad performance poll numbers

[sonias]

KUT's Notes from the Lege blog 2/10/10
Big Red Machine

A 2nd poll has been released showing Democrat Bill White losing to each of the three GOP gubernatorial candidates in November. Public Policy Polling has a new survey out today shows Governor Perry leading White 48 to 42 percent. Senator Hutchison leads White 45-38 and Debra Medina leads 44-38.

(snip)
There is some bad news for Republicans in the poll. GOP frontrunner Perry has a 50% disapproval rating — with only 33% approving of his job performance. Sen. Hutchison’s approve/disapprove rating is 40/37%. Bill White’s favorable rating was only 34% - but 49% answered "Not Sure" — which means there’s still a large chunk of the state that doesn’t know enough about White to have an opinion.

I look at it this way, one week ago it was Perry 50 White 40. Now it's Perry 48 and White 42. White is gaining a bit on Perry. Both polls had about 3% margin of error.

The real nugget in the poll Perry's negatives are already at 50%!

:woohoo: :bounce: :woohoo: :bounce:


Sonia

[sonias]

1. Link to the poll p/r and complete survey

It's a pdf file:

Perry, Hutchison Popularity Down
(snip)
“Democrats might have their best chance in a while to win the Texas Governor’s race,”
said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “This primary is generating a lot
of bad blood and making Bill White more competitive. The extent to which Republicans
are able to unify around their nominee once this is over will have a big impact on what
happens this fall.”

:kick:

Sonia

[sonias]

2. 2010: New Poll, Same Story

Texas Tribune 2/10/10
2010: New Poll, Same Story
Rick Perry leads Kay Bailey Hutchison and Debra Medina in the race for governor, but still hasn't won 50 percent of the voters, according to a new poll done for the Texas Credit Union League. By their reckoning, Perry has 49 percent; Hutchison has 27 percent and Debra Medina has 19 percent.

Some of their findings:
(snip)
• 62% of Republican primary voters say they are "much more" (36%) or "somewhat more" (26%) likely to support a candidate who considers themselves to be a "tea-party" activist.

62% of the Texas Republican primary base are teabaggers. :rofl:

No wonder Medina is hitting it big.:crazy:

Sonia

[onestepforward]

5. Wow.

62% repub. are teabaggers. I knew it would be a high percentage, but not quite that high. Yikes. I'm surprised that Medina isn't in 1st place. She might be by November.

[tanyev]

3. Boy, the glass was half-full on WFAA tonight.

Their lead to the story was that the Perry campaign should be happy--the latest polls show that the Gov almost has enough to get his 51% majority. Lower that bar, WFAA!

[sonias]

4. Some media just belong to Perry

You might think a couple of them might mention an incumbent under 50% anytime during a re-election campaign is in dangerous territory. Not for pro-Perry media. They're just pimps for Perry.

Sonia

[Vogon_Glory]

6. After Six Years of Shrub and Ten of Perry, Our Pundits Just Can't Imagine...

After six years of Shrub and ten years of Ricky, our Texas pundits can't imagine a Democrat occupying the Governor's Mansion again. It would be a delight to make their heads explode.

:evilgrin:

:dem:

[sonias]

7. I can't wait for that day

It's my dream to see this nightmare end. Plus seeing some MSM talking heads explode would be a bonus!

:kick:


Soni

[sonias]

8. Another poll - UT/Tribune poll

Texas Tribune
Perry, White Way Ahead
(snip)
Perry had the support of 45 percent of self-identified Republican primary voters — short of the majority required for an outright win. Hutchison had 21 percent and Medina had 19 percent, a two-percentage-point divide that's smaller than the poll's margin of error.

(snip)
Undecided voters are still significant in both gubernatorial primaries. On the Republican side, 16 percent said they hadn't made up their minds. Pressed for a preference, 51 percent chose Perry, 34 percent chose Hutchison, and 15 percent chose Medina — an indication that Perry could win without a runoff if he can attract those voters into his camp. Among Democratic voters, 30 percent were undecided, and of those, 48 percent, when pressed, said they lean toward White. With White already at 50 percent, that means Shami would have to strip votes away from him in order to force a runoff or to claim a win.

(snip)
Friedman and Gilbert — two refugees from the governor's race now running for agriculture commissioner — are locked in a tight race, 32 percent to 27 percent. While Friedman's ahead, the difference is within the poll's margin of error. And, as with the Lite Guv race, “undecided” is actually leading, at 41 percent. The winner will face incumbent Republican Todd Staples in November.

There are some interesting results in the poll like Sharp ahead of Dewhurst in a match up for KBH's Senate seat.

Oh and fuck you Kinky!!

Sonia

[sonias]

9. Still another poll - Research 2000

Burnt Orange Report 2/12/10
Research 2000 Poll: White Only Trails Perry by 4 Points, Leads Perry Among Independents

Excellent results from today's Research 2000 Poll:
Question: If the election for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote for if the choices were between Bill White, the Democrat, and Rick Perry, the Republican?

* All voters: White 42, Perry 46
* Independents: White 45, Perry 42

The poll was taken from Feb 8 - Feb 10, and has a 4% MOE. A total of 600 likely voters who vote regularly in state elections were interviewed statewide by telephone.

Steady as we go up and hopefully we meet Perry going way, way down by November. :thumbsup:
:fistbump:

Sonia

[sonias]

10. DailyKos sponsored the Research 2000 poll

Here's the poll details:
Daily Kos/Research 2000 Texas Poll

Rick Perry
  	       FAV 	UNFAV 	NO OPINION
ALL	        50	45	5
MEN	        56	40	4
WOMEN	        44	50	6
DEMOCRATS	20	77	3
REPUBLICANS	74	20	6
INDEPENDENTS	48	46	6

Tips to BOR who linked to the DailyKos poll.

Women hate Rick Perry the most, especially Democratic women!

[onestepforward]

11. I like these numbers!

They are slowing going up for White! :D

[sonias]

12. Yes we can

I just hope that the R primary keeps getting uglier and uglier. Perry needs his own "9/11 was an inside job" moment.

Please, please someone catch Perry sticking his foot in his mouth - on tape. He does it all the time. :)


Sonia

[sonias]

13. Side by side comparision of February polling numbers

BOR diary 2/12/10
February Gubernatorial Polling Round-Up
With early voting a mere four days away and less than a month to go until primary day, Texas gubernatorial polls are coming out fast and furious. Here's an overview of some recent polling released in the past week. Note that nearly all were in the field entirely or largely before Medina's "9/11 Truther" flap on Glenn Beck yesterday.

Go check out Katherine Haenschen's round up of the polling data.

:kick:

Sonia

[kalli007]

14. Makes my day.....

from the Burnt Orange Report:

"White has only been on TV for eleven days, yet is already pulling within Perry -- who has been in statewide office for twenty years and still can't clear 50% among his own Party's base. As we move further and further along, we'll have more and more polls to look at -- and some numbers will look better than others. The underlying factor of all the polls we've seen so far, however, is that White is extremely competitive with Perry right now and is going to have a strong chance at victory in November. "

[sonias]

15. I'm very hopeful too

I think we can win this in November.
:bounce:

Sonia

[onestepforward]

16. Me too!

The news for White just keeps getting better! :patriot:

[sonias]

17. And it keeps getting better

AAS 2/13/10
Newspapers' poll: Perry has comfortable lead as voting starts
Big test could come in fall against Democrat White.

Gov. Rick Perry heads into the start of early voting Tuesday with a comfortable lead over his two Republican primary challengers, but he could be in for a tough November fight against the Democratic nominee, a poll commissioned by the Austin American-Statesman and other Texas newspapers shows.

Perry has the support of 45 percent of likely Republican primary voters, while 29 percent back U.S. Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison and 17 percent support Wharton activist Debra Medina. Just 8 percent are undecided.

(snip)
Perry leads Democratic front-runner Bill White in a head-to-head hypothetical matchup by a rather narrow 6 percentage points, 43 percent to 37 percent, among all voters. Hutchison does slightly better against White, leading him 42 percent to 34 percent.

(snip)
White remains largely unknown. Nearly two-thirds of voters said they had not heard enough about him to have a favorable or unfavorable opinion.

(snip)
Asked about solving the state's looming budget shortfall, respondents were much more likely to say they favored balancing the budget by cutting highway funding than by increasing taxes, cutting health care for the poor or cutting education.

This poll was primarily for republican party primary voters. The paper said they did not poll a large enough sample of Democratic primary voters.

Crazy republicans would rather cut education and funding health care to the poor than raise taxes a little. Such Cristian compassion! Never mind how short-sighted it is to cut education funding. They are crazy stupid! :crazy:

Sonia

[kalli007]

18. I think that White is playing it very smart by staying quiet and

relatively unknown until AFTER the Repub candidates have torn each other to shreds. After the last man/woman standing he is going to swoop in and blow them out of the water.

[sonias]

19. Perfect storm

I can't wait to see the outcome of the R primary for Governor. I hope Perry barely makes it out on top - like 39% before he heads into the runoff. That would be so sweet!

:bounce:


Sonia

[tammywammy]

20. I heard my first White commerical this morning

Made me smile. :)

[Dover]

21. A sampling of opinion from the right :

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2434946/posts

[tammywammy]

22. Interesting

A republican co-worker said he really like KBH's ad that says "every four years you vote for Rick Perry and then you spend the next 3 wondering why you did."

[sonias]

23. "...all the way to the White House"

:spray: They are totally delusional - just like Perry.

:rofl::rofl::rofl:

Sonia

[sonias]

24. Survey says:

Texas Tribune 2/15/10
Survey Says...
(snip)
They're not comfortable, though. Only 28 percent think the national economy is better than a year ago, while many more — 52 percent — think the country is worse off. About the same number think the state's economic conditions are improving (38 percent) as think they're getting worse (40 percent). Only 17 percent say their families are better off than a year ago, while 41 percent say they're about the same, and 41 percent say they're worse off now.

Couple those views with these:

• 41 percent approve "strongly" or "somewhat" of the job Barack Obama is doing as president, while 50 percent say they disapprove (and 40 percent disapprove strongly).

• 38 percent approve of the job Gov. Rick Perry is doing, versus 40 percent who disapprove.

Perry is sitting on a powder keg of unhappy people just waiting for the opportunity to throw the bum out.

Sonia

[tammywammy]

25. "waiting for the opportunity to throw the bum out"

God I hope so.

[Dover]

26. Surely there's a truckload of dirt on Perry.

Where is it?

Still pondering this one:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=115x154766

[sonias]

27. The Texas Observer has uncoverd a bunch of it

But lame stream media don't care to cover it. And voters don't seem to care.

Here is the latest piece of influence corruption under the Perry watch

Texas Observer 2/11/10
Master Stroke
Why did Gov. Perry's insurance regulators sign their own lobbyist's paychecks?
In 2002 and 2003, a troubled auto-insurance company based in Dallas wrote checks worth more than a quarter of a million dollars to a powerful Republican lobbyist with close ties to Gov. Rick Perry. On the surface, that might not sound especially newsworthy given the incestuous nature of lobbying in Texas. But the company in question, Universal Insurance Exchange LLC, was under state supervision at the time. That meant the $255,000 in checks it wrote to Perry’s pal, former Republican state Sen. David Sibley, were co-signed by the Texas Department of Insurance. The insurance lobbyist’s paychecks were signed by the regulators they were being paid to influence. Now that’s clout.

(snip)
Perry’s image problem has been complicated by the migration of his political allies into the insurance industry. Sibley is just one case in point. When Perry was lieutenant governor in 1999, he put Sibley in charge of two powerful Senate committees, including one that helped deregulate Texas’ electric industry. When Perry inherited the governor’s office from Presidentelect George W. Bush the following year, he urged the Senate—unsuccessfully—to elect Sibley as its presiding officer. The men were close enough for Perry to endorse Sibley for one of Texas’ most powerful offices.

(snip)
While Sibley’s Universal Insurance gig was the single most lucrative contact with a department-supervised insurer, other Perry allies were not far behind. After serving as Perry’s general counsel, Bill Jones scored three lucrative contracts with Austin-based Amil International Insurance Co., also under state supervision. Jim Arnold, who managed Perry’s lieutenant governor campaign in 1998, got big contracts with TDI-supervised Central United Life Insurance Co. of Houston. Assisting Arnold on that contract was Hans Klinger, who resigned last year as executive director of the Republican Party of Texas to become the campaign spokesperson for Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison, Perry’s chief rival in his current re-election bid.

(snip)
Koehler believes his firing was another example of the shady way that insurance regulation works in Texas. He was fired, he says, because he pressed Geeslin to investigate Universal’s hefty payments to a lobbyist with close ties to the governor. “I had been doing this type of work for 15 years, and I never saw a company under TDI supervision and control make payments to a lobbyist,” Koehler says. “It was policyholders’ money.”

The money always leads back to Perry. It's pay to play, and if you play Perry's way - he makes sure you get rewarded. :grr:

Sonia

[sonias]

28. 75 percent of TX voters think there should be term limits for governor

AAS First Reading 2/15/10
More from our poll
(snip)
An overwhelming number of all registered voters — 75 percent — think there should be term limits for governor. Could this be a winning issue for likely Democratic nominee Bill White in November?

I'd say there was some gold in that number.

Sonia

[sonias]

29. New poll numbers - Perry still can't win outright

Public Policy Polling 2/23/10
Perry still favored
Debra Medina is fading in the Texas Republican race for Governor, and it continues to look like the contest is headed for a runoff where Rick Perry will be a strong favorite over Kay Bailey Hutchison.

Perry leads with 40% to 31% for Hutchison and 20% for Medina. Compared to PPP's look at the race two weeks ago Perry has gained a point, Hutchison has gone up three, and Medina's standing has declined by four.

Unless Perry wins the remaining undecideds by an overwhelming margin and/or peels off more of Medina's support it looks like he won't get to the 50% needed for an outright victory next week. But he leads Hutchison 52-35 in a potential runoff thanks in large part to Medina's supporters, who say Perry is their second choice by a 52-24 margin.

It's been a rough couple of weeks for Medina's standing. Her favorability spread in the previous poll was 40/9 for a +31 net positive. Now she's at 36/30 for a net positive of just +6. A 25 point drop on your numbers in the span of just two weeks is pretty unusual.

(snip)
As for Perry his 50/41 approval spread within the GOP primary electorate is pretty mediocre but barring some major change of events he should win nomination for another term. That will set up what will likely be his closest race for Governor yet against Houston Mayor Bill White, who's cruising to the Democratic nomination with a 59-12 lead over his main challenger.

:rofl::rofl::rofl:

Sonia

[sonias]

30. Election 2010: Texas Governor (Rasmussen poll)

Rasmussen Reports 2/23/10
Election 2010: Texas Governor
Texas Governor: Perry, Hutchison Still Lead White

As the Republican contenders slug it out in their primary battle, Democratic hopeful Bill White still trails the top two Republicans in the general election race for governor of Texas. However, White has drawn a little bit closer than he was a month ago.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of likely voters in the state shows incumbent GOP Governor Rick Perry leading White 47% to 41%. Five percent (5%) of voters prefer some other candidate, and seven percent (7%) are undecided. At the beginning of this month, Perry led White 48% to 39%.

:kick: