LA Times: LV Bush 51% Kerry 46%; RV Bush 49% Kerry 46%

[tritsofme]

WASHINGTON - President Bush has a 5 percentage point lead over Sen. John F. Kerry among likely voters, but nearly one-fifth say the candidate debates that begin to Thursday could change their decision, a new Times poll has found.

Bush leads Kerry among likely voters in the survey, 51% to 46%. With both men holding at least 90% of the voters from their own party, Bush has seized the advantage by moving ahead among several key swing voter groups that both sides covet, including independents, suburbanites and married women.

Bush still faces widespread doubts about many of his central initiatives. A narrow majority says the situation in Iraq was "not worth" the war, and a solid plurality believe the president's policies have hurt, rather than helped, the economy. These doubts could provide Kerry openings during the campaign's final weeks

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http://www.latimes.com/news/custom/timespoll/la-na-poll30sep30,1,2202089.story?coll=la-home-headlines

[Stephanie]

1. Are they calling based on RV lists?

Or are they calling generally and then asking if the person is registered?

[tritsofme]

2. You're usually using a random sample

and asking whether they are registered.

[Teaser]

3. Not too bad.

This is doable people. Definitely doable.

[David Dunham]

4. I agree. We've had our mess ups, but we can still win this election.

[sonicx]

5. not bad. interesting that...

Kerry gets 90% support from democrats in this poll. Most others have it much lower.

[Teaser]

6. RV's haven't changed in a month.

Check PollingReport.com

seriously, that means any change in this number is model based. It's all in their screen. Makes it likely that the change is an artifact.

[tritsofme]

7. kick