The Kerry Curve

[MsTryska]

I don't know if anyone else has already posted this, but here ya go:

THE KERRY CURVE

There Is A Pattern To People's Views About John Kerry, A Predictable Curve, That Always Leaves Him On Top In The End - And Will Lead To His Landslide Victory This Election


http://www.moderateindependent.com/v2i18chumpcheck2.htm

[shawmut]

1. I saw it here before but it deserves to be posted again

I believe it is right on.

[Worst Username Ever]

2. That is a GREAT article.

[kaitykaity]

3. I finally hit Stage 1 when I

saw Kerry playing hockey. I liked the athleticism and
masculinity. It also helped when Teresa finally started
talking. Or I got to hear her. I thought, there must be
something too this man if a woman of her caliber would
marry him.

I think I skipped Stage 2.

(This article is great stuff.)

[CrispyQ]

4. Great article! Thanks for sharing!

I went through all stages & am fully in stage three!

[dolstein]

5. What's worked in Massachusetts and the Democratic primaries

won't necessarily hold true in the general election.

Seriously folks, winning a bunch of elections in Massachusetts doesn't guarantee that you'll be competitive in a national election. That certainly wasn't true for Michael Dukakis, who won several elections in Massachusetts. And the fact Kerry was able to come from behind to win over skeptical Democratic voters in Iowa doesn't mean diddly when it comes to winning over the kinds of voters who don't take part in the Democratic primaries.

Personally, I think it should have been obvious to primary voters that Edwards was far more electable than Kerry. Convincing a majority of North Carolina voters to support you is simply a far greater challenege for a Democrat than convicing a majority of Massachusetts voter.

[Nicholas_J]

6. I have recalculated

Every polls that shows Bush way ahead and adjusted tem for the oversampling of Republicans and in Every case, the results are that Kerry ids ahead of Bush, in reality. I don't not know how this will effect the outcome, but given the actual math in the polls, Kerry should actually be ahead given that many polls are sampling 5 to 10 percent more republicans, and in a Gallop response to the MoveOn advertisement in the New York time today, the Gallop people admintted that they are not doing any weighting in these polls at all, just doing a raw calcualtion. They state that their polls are valid ,as they beleive that more Repblicans will vote than democrats this time around, as a result of their questioning of "likely voters"

[MsTryska]

7. They haven't been paying attention to

voter registration numbers, have they?