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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
ProSense Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-28-08 09:09 AM
Original message
This map looks great (updated)
Edited on Tue Oct-28-08 09:40 AM by ProSense
Map

Click on it to see the data.

TALK ABOUT STRETCHING THE MAP....

In June, shortly after securing the Democratic nomination, the Obama campaign began airing television ads in 14 "red" states, a group which included Montana. It seemed like an odd choice -- Bush beat Kerry in Montana by more than 20 points four years ago, and Bush beat Gore in the state by 25 points eight years ago. Did the Obama campaign know something we don't?

Actually, yes. A Rasmussen poll in July showed Obama with a narrow lead in Montana, and last week, an MSU-Billings poll showed Obama leading McCain by four, 44% to 40%.

With a week to go, the RNC has decided this is a state worth worrying about.

The Republican National Committee will begin running television ads in Montana beginning on Wednesday, a sign of how heavily the playing field is tilted against the GOP with just eight days left in the presidential election.

Obama has already spent about $2 million in the state, while the RNC's ad buy, which is a negative spot attacking Obama, will cost about $400,000.

Montana certainly seems like an unexpected addition to the list of swing states, but it's not as if Democrats are invisible there -- Montana does, after all have a Democratic governor and two Democratic senators. What's more, Bill Clinton won the state in 1992, thanks to a very strong showing from Ross Perot -- and Ron Paul is on the ballot in Montana this year (as the Constitution Party's "nominee").

In the broader context, though, there are probably quite a few vulnerable Republican senators who are wondering why the RNC would rather invest nearly a half-million in Montana on McCain's behalf, as opposed to giving them a much-needed hand in the last week.



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tekisui Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-28-08 09:10 AM
Response to Original message
1. Hell yes, it does.
272 in STRONG Obama!

Looks like a big win to me.
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ProSense Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-28-08 09:24 AM
Response to Original message
2. NJ getting bluer
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OPERATIONMINDCRIME Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-28-08 09:32 AM
Response to Reply #2
5. I Love The Fact The NJ Isn't Even Competitive This Election!
Go Jersey!
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ProSense Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-28-08 09:29 AM
Response to Original message
3. There is absolutely no reason to believe that McCain can win
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tigereye Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-28-08 04:07 PM
Response to Reply #3
10. boy, you would never know it from all his slimy ads here -
Edited on Tue Oct-28-08 04:08 PM by tigereye
a lot of us have simply turned off the tv and radio.


A lot of the ads are of the "what if a criminal invades your house and you have no gun?" variety... :puke:



And it gets weirder, he just opened up an office with a big Dems for McCain sign in one of Pgh's most liberal neighborhoods, with the Obama office about 5 doors down. This a very diverse, highly educated neighborhood where folks recently ran down the street, desperate to get Obama yard signs!


I almost fell over when I saw it. :wtf: I've never seen a Republican campaign office in the city, other than the really small local ones. Reps rarely win in the city -what the hell are they smoking?
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Smuckies Donating Member (600 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-28-08 09:31 AM
Response to Original message
4. Yep, it does! We will win Arizona for sure.
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ProSense Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-28-08 09:40 AM
Response to Reply #4
6. That would be awesome.
It could happen.


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azmouse Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-28-08 12:36 PM
Response to Original message
7. kick
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ProSense Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-28-08 03:42 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. Thanks.
It's good news.

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Chrisnreno Donating Member (189 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-28-08 03:45 PM
Response to Original message
9. Nevada looks good in blue! k&r. nt
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ProSense Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-28-08 08:32 PM
Response to Reply #9
13. I think he will lose Nevada,
McCain that is. LOL!



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cameozalaznick Donating Member (624 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-28-08 04:15 PM
Response to Original message
11. Here's what I like about it....
Even if you give McCain ALL the yellow toss-ups, plus all the pink and red PLUS CO and NM, Obama STILL WINS!!!!! :bounce:


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ProSense Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-28-08 04:50 PM
Response to Reply #11
12. Good point. n/t
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