Public Policy Polling (PPP) North Carolina: Obama: 49% McCain: 48% (leads early voting 63-36)

[WI_DEM]

Raleigh, N.C. – The races for President and Senate in North Carolina have tightened
over the last week, although the Democratic candidates maintain the lead for both.
Barack Obama leads John McCain 49-48. The movement over the last week has come
pretty much exclusively with white voters, as McCain has increased his lead with them
from 55-39 to 60-36. McCain may now be pulling in the votes of more conservative
Democrats in the state. He’s earning 19% of the Democratic vote now compared to 14%
a week ago.
Obama is still clinging to the lead by virtue of his continued advantage with
independents. He has a 51-39 lead with them. Obama also has a lot of votes banked. He
is up 63-36 with those who reported already voting.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NC_1027484.pdf

[bullimiami]

1. it makes no sense that early voting is so huge for obama and

that mccains supporters are waiting for election day. no sense whatsoever.

[WI_DEM]

2. unenthused, they may even decide not to vote.

[MadBadger]

3. It makes perfect sense. Obama has been emphasizing Early Voting...McCain hasnt.

[bullimiami]

4. democrats know what can be done to them on election day

but it doesnt explain the numbers.

if there are no tricks id say obama wins nc by well more than the 1 point the polls seems to show.

repubs and dems are all basically the same and if they are not going out early for mccain it means they are not going to go out for him, period.

[CatBO]

5. Makes a lot of sense to me...

Why switch up your schedule or try to find an early voting place to cast a losing vote?

They think they are going to lose, hence they've become complacent.

Obama supporters however, want to win, and want to cast a winning vote in a historical election. They want to be able to say they voted, so they're getting in there early.

It's the enthusiasm gap.

[bullimiami]

6. i agree but what im saying is if they wont bother to early vote, they wont bother at all.

so the polls are measuring what exactly to come up with a 1 point obama lead?

not a realistic pool of likely voters apparently.