Two Weeks out: Election Prediction Time

[charlie and algernon]

Poll question: Two Weeks out: Election Prediction Time

Not that I expect anyone to pick the McCain blowout options, just there for the matter of fairness.

[tekisui]

1. I see it at 350+ for Obama.

[Stagecoach]

2. I don't know if he'll get over 350

But I have a feeling it's going to be much closer to 350 than 300.

[FirstLight]

4. I am with you guys...300+ fo shoo!

I think there are more people that are not getting polled (i.e. cell users) and there are repub that are scared to say it out loud...but I see a BLUE country come November!

[WI_DEM]

3. Too early to predict. I'll wait until a week out.

[begin_within]

5. If the elections are fair, it will be O/B-364, Mc/P-174... but

Republicans don't like fair elections so we can expect them to steal a few states.

[dccrossman]

6. Elections aren't fair

I still think Obama will win, but that it will be closer than it should be because Repugs manage to steal FL and keep OH in doubt longer than it should be, if they don't actually steal it as well.

Luckily, Obama can win without either one.

[Sebastian Doyle]

7. Right now Electoral Vote has it at: Obama 364 McCain 171 North Dakota Tied - 3

Realistically that can go back and forth a little bit over the next two weeks, but probably not by any significant amount. I don't see Obama getting less than 300 electoral votes without massive fraud that would be so obvious that even 80% of the Republicans would call "foul".

And that 300 is the low-ball estimate. Using the current 364 number, even if North Carolina doesn't hold, and Florida is stolen, he would still have 322.