New Zogby Shows Bush Up BY 2

[notbush]

Poll taken Aug. 30-Sept.2.
Last poll had it Kerry 48, Bush 43.
Tonights release Kerry 44, Bush 46.

[cally]

1. Not too bad....Kerry's doing fine..nt

[MidwestTransplant]

2. Good that Bush is only at 46

to the extent there is a bright side.

[FlaIndie]

3. 46 is terrible for a sitting president

especially at or during his convention.

[Frodo]

4. That's worse than I expected.

The majority of the cals would have been pre-Zell and all of them before the Bush speech.

Let's hope the other numbers are not as bad (though the Rasmussen poll - which I almost completely discount - was troubling.

[Teaser]

14. Better than I expected.

Much better.

[bushwakker]

5. if zogby is bush +2 the others will be bush +5-10

kerry has been doing better in zogby.

[Teaser]

15. Not necessarily.

These polls aren't linear transformations of the same underlying data.

[chum]

6. I expect Bush to lead

After this last week of solid republican coverage. But if Kerry isn't losing by more than 4 points next week I'll be happy for now. I think Kerry can make it up.

[Snellius]

7. It's not a figure to ignore.

That's a significant shift. And that doesn't include the expected post-convention bounce.

[Doosh]

10. Kerry down 4, Bush up 3

you know, it probably still ends up being within the margin of error

[sonicx]

12. The last kogby poll was 2 weeks ago.

so this also takes into effect the Swift Boat crap.

[Doosh]

8. Rudy and Arnold got rave reviews, that's where the boost comes in

I imagine there will be negative reactions to the Zell tirade and Bush's snoozer of a speech tonight.

[sonicx]

9. OK by me, Kerry is finally fired up and

2 months left. please remeber folks...Gore was behind most of the time and still won nationally (and in EV technically).

[homerthompson]

11. hopefully the other bad news will dominate the headlines now

like florida's hurricane troubles getting worse, the russian hostage thing getting worse, the abu grhaib torturors situation getting bigger, and that economic report coming out tomorrow. i'm probably forgetting other stuff.
fortunately for us, the rnc and *'s speech is competing against many things that are very attention grabbing.

[Teaser]

13. Not bad at all.

I think 46-48 represents the ceiling on Bush's support.

Sweet.