Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll gives bush 4 point lead

[still_one]

The following three days will determine if that was noise or significant

Personnally I believe it will go down in the next few days

Kerry has to come out and trash these criminals

[Liberal Veteran]

1. We haven't even hit the debates yet.

So it's really too soon to tell.

[papau]

2. No big deal - Rasmussen is one of the more inaccurate polls

This is the first time that Bush has reached the 49% mark in the Tracking Poll since Kerry wrapped up the Democratic nomination on Super Tuesday (March 2). It's also the first time Bush has been up by four points since April 26.

Kerry reached 49% a few times following his convention but neither candidate has yet reached the 50% mark.

[Viking12]

3. Just noise

Look, the pukes are getting lots of airtime, a move is expected.
Tonight Kerry makes a speech.
Tomorrow a jobs report comes out.
Sunday Barnes is on 60 minutes.
Kerry kicks up campaign ads after laying low in August.

[Bernardo de La Paz]

4. MOE and Three Day window. Don't get your hopes up.

The Rasmussen polls are taken over a three day window. What you are seeing on that site as "Today" is Sept. 1, yesterday. That means it uses data from Aug. 29, 30, and 31. Too soon to have much effect at all. Margin of Error (MOE) is +/- 3 percent. Which means it could be 50-44 or 44-50.

Bush will get a huge bounce from the convention (wink).

Besides, Arbusto has never lost a debate. He is a masterdebater.

[Killarney]

5. It will be temporary. After this week, Kerry will have ads again

and will come out swinging.